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Richard T Dolbeare (RA), ABR, CRS, RSPS, BS/MS - Engineering Hawaii Dreams Today

Kauai Sales Fishhoook

Looking at data back to 2000 shows that Kauai sales took a huge tumble indeed beginning in 2006. But that fishhook upturn in 2009 is looking an awful lot like a new trend! Stay tuned for the next few months to find out for sure.

Kauai sales chart

Aloha!

Search Kauai/Big Island | Search Maui | Email | About Me | Visit Website | Phone/Text (808) 651-4550Richard T. Dolbeare (RA), Keller Williams Realty logo

Engineering Hawaii Dreams Today--Helping Buyers Find Dream Homes & Sellers Find Buyers

Visit www.KauaiRocks.com for Hawaii real estate information

Kauai Sales Stats For September

Kauai home sales statistics have been released for the month of September 2009. The figures are island-wide comparisons of current sales versus year ago periods. Monthly values fluctuate widely and I've always preferred to use year-to-date data to average out the fluctuations. Both are presented below.

It's important to keep in mind that the data reflects what is actually selling and not necessarily a change in value of a particular property. In my experience investor purchases tend to be in higher-priced resort areas whereas owner-occupant purchases tend to be more focused in value-priced areas. My buyer clients today are much more heavily weighted toward owner-occupant than in previous years when investors dominated. More sales in value-priced areas and fewer in higher-priced resort areas will drive median sales prices down. Of course the number of sales speak for themselves although here again, an absence of investor sales will drive the numbers down.

Number of Sales

Type September % Change Year-To-Date % Change
Single Family Homes 15 -29% 168 -26%
Condominiums 14 +75% 114 -21%

Median Sales Price

Type September % Change Year-To-Date % Change
Single Family Homes $499,000 -5% $470,500 -25%
Condominiums $337,500 -32% $330,000 -41%

Additional breakdown of this information is available to my clients upon request.

Aloha!

Search Kauai/Big Island | Search Maui | Email | About Me | Visit Website | Phone/Text (808) 651-4550Richard Dolbeare (RA), Century 21 All Islands logo

Engineering Hawaii Dreams Today--Helping Buyers Find Dream Homes & Sellers Find Buyers

Visit www.KauaiRocks.com for Hawaii real estate information

Kauai Sales Are Up

Having once managed an engineering data department, I'm accustomed to pouring through numbers and presenting data in charts for easy visualization of market activity. Today I'm relying on a less rigorous measure of market activity here on Kauai. When I reviewed our MLS daily summary, I was amazed at how different it looks from just a few months ago. Today we had a whopping 7 sales closed and 2 contingent contracts. Just a few months ago we were lucky to have 1 sale and often had none. Back then, most daily reports were not much more than price changes down. Today, that category made up only 1/3 of our activity.

Clearly buyers are buying once again and more and more signs are pointing to a recovery.

Aloha!

Search Kauai/Big Island | Search Maui | Email | About Me | Visit Website | Phone/Text (808) 651-4550Richard Dolbeare (RA), Century 21 All Islands logo

Engineering Hawaii Dreams Today--Helping Buyers Find Dream Homes & Sellers Find Buyers

Visit www.KauaiRocks.com for Hawaii real estate information

Kauai's Poipu Real Estate May Be Ready to Turn the Corner

Earlier today I posted my real estate inventory chart for the entire island of Kauai. Although that chart showed Kauai's real estate inventory has been decreasing for over a year, Poipu on Kauai's South Shore has lagged behind. Finally there are signs of improvement here as well. Admittedly it was hard to get the yellow curve fit to bend at the upper right so it's still a bit early to say inventory here has peaked. Nevertheless, it's a positive sign especially when considering the overall improvement in Kauai.

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Poipu real estate inventory chart

For techies, the yellow curve superimposed on the chart is an Excel 5th-order polynomial curve fit.

Aloha,

Search Kauai/Big Island | Search Maui | Email | About Me | Visit Website | Phone/Text (808) 651-4550Richard Dolbeare (RA), Century 21 All Islands logo

Engineering Hawaii Dreams Today--Helping Buyers Find Dream Homes & Sellers Find Buyers

Visit www.KauaiRocks.com for Hawaii real estate information

Kauai Inventory Continues Recovery from August 2008 Peak

With over a year of of decreasing inventory, it's clear that Kauai's real estate inventory is continuing to recover from August 2008 highs. It's rarely possible to discern trends until sufficient time has elapsed to look back and see where we have been. For Kauai, the inventory buildup began in the Fall of 2005 and continued to build for 3 years. Now the number of active listings has been decreasing for a full year. This is a positive sign for stressed-out sellers. While I expect some time to elapse before prices also begin a recovery, now may be the "sweet spot" for buyers especially since many predict that mortgage rates will soon begin to increase.

For techies, the smooth yellow curve superimposed on the chart is an Excel 3rd-order polynomial curve fit.

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Kauai real estate inventory chart

Aloha,

Search Kauai/Big Island | Search Maui | Email | About Me | Visit Website | Phone/Text (808) 651-4550Richard Dolbeare (RA), Century 21 All Islands logo

Engineering Hawaii Dreams Today--Helping Buyers Find Dream Homes & Sellers Find Buyers

Visit www.KauaiRocks.com for Hawaii real estate information