“World's Most Complete Neighborpedia”
Explore:   What's happening in your neck of the woods?

Ed Tse

Back to Good Old Days? This Arizona House Up $380,000 or 400% In 5 Months?

03-15-09
Ed Tse

Gee! unbelievable in these crazy days. Takes a lot of guts to invest or "gamble" your life.

See, how much you will pay for this late 1980' beautiful house with 4 beds, 2.0 baths, 2,382 sq ft ?

First, let see the listing description:

4 BEDROOM HOME ON A CUL-DE-SAC
WITH A POOL DUG OUT AND PLUMBING. JUST NEEDS TO BE POURED. NO HOA.
UNIQUE FLOOR PLAN AND KITCHEN HAS ALL APPLIANCES EXCEPT FRIDGE AND ALSO
HAS GRANITE COUNTERTOPS. CEILING FANS THROUGHOUT HOME. HOME IS IN
DECENT SHAPE.
GARAGE DOOR HAS MINOR COSMETIC DAMAGE AND ALL THE DOORS
HAVE BEEN REMOVED INSIDE HOME BUT MANY ARE STILL IN GARAGE. AT THIS NEW
PRICE THE HOME SHOULD GO QUICKLY. BUYER TO VERIFY SCHOOLS.

Now, you get a rough idea about the house. How much are you willing to pay? Guess it and write the number down and then, read on.

Next, let see what Zillow.com said. Well, well-prepare yourself for the roller-coaster curve skyrocketing that the housing price is going through the roof in Arizona. Trust our President Obama, we have to be optimistic about anything or something, right? Everything would be okay like the stock gains last week.

Zestimate Information
  • Zestimate: $482,500
  • 30-day change: $83,500 (Incredible! Price increases $83K in a month for an Arizona house. Can you believe it?)
  • Value Range: $342,575 - $492,150
  • Last updated: 03/13/2009






So hang on. Helps are coming and ready on the way from National Association of Realtors and Federal bailout rescue. Housing will surge higher and pass the peak of 2006! It is just near the corner, right? Good old day shall be back, that is why we voted for a man with such a wonderful name with hope: to Bring aroma Back by an Old Back Man. (NOTE: I am not sure I should use "aroma" or "arrogance." God will let us know very soon.)

But, wait a minute! Are we sure that the market is like a flying firework in July? Are you proud of the number you wrote down a right number as President Obama said, "I believe I did the right thing." Or is your number far out of the line? Let's get a second opinion from other famous real estate doctor.

Oh, my god! How come Eppraisal.com give the same house an estimated value range: $50,000-68,000?

eppraisal for: ****** AVE, PHOENIX,AZ
value range:
$50,377 $59,268 $68,158

Now the last, let look at its sold history provided by my favor zillow.com as follows:

4 beds, 2.0 baths, 2,382 sq ft

10/14/2008: 11/07/2003: 01/15/2002: 05/07/1999: 08/20/1993:
Sale History
$105,400 *
$133,000
$110,000
$97,000
$90,900

What is the realistic or true market value for this house?

Is it all depends on what formula or module we use? After the housing crash, so many people accused banks, brokers, appraisal firms of inflating house value. However, everyone is just pointing at a scapegoat by making complaints or blaming someone else. All blamed the current appraisal method. Can we use "income approach" or "cost approach" to better a home's value? Did I hear anyone present a better solution other than"comparative market approach" to evaluate a home-owner occupied dwelling?

None!

Nothing at all, they are unable to come up a better way of performing it. The only thing they keep doing is "blaming" others as Taiwanese did. Ouch! I should say the only TWO things. Sorry, they are bragging what they can do or achieve, even they are doing the same thing. They are just good at "SWITCH AND CHEAT" tactics of a used car dealer. (NOTE: please see my article "Keep going, folks! We can live on blaming? ")

Anyway, an appraisal is just an opinion, right? Zillow.com gives it half million dollars, Eppraisal puts $50K price tag. So you have your opinions; I have mine. I will not be surprised this house would be sold for less than $45,000 even it is in a good neighborhood. That's my opinion I should be able to get it for less than $50K.

We are in a free society to express an opinion, right? Even you are in appraisal business with licence, nobody says your profession is a "science" as nobody says an attorney is doing a science. You are probably unable to get a degree of science, but a bachelor of art instead. All the academic students agree an appraisal report is a function of "art" by some rules. So, bear that in mind, please just don't drag Zillow.com, eppraisal.com or me to a judge as some prosecutors did or intend to do recently once the housing price dives down or flies up in the sky later;

It is just a democratic way of "compromise" between Sellers and Buyers, under a free market mechanism. Who says price is constant or can be fixed? No student of economics or even an average person says so, except a stupid government?

Everyone does have his right to do his judgment wildly, weirdly or wisely. It is normal to have a housing up and down, if not bubble or burst, at any time. It is natural as a cyclical activities as Four Seasons. Don't be surprised! Nothing strange!

Ivy Tower Wish or Street Wise Guts?

03-11-09
Ed Tse

messiah

A Sign of CCC

Cat's Credit Card; A cat got $4,200 card. CCC sounds like 死死死 "death" or 喜喜喜 "happiness" in Chinese. All depend on your mind or position.

Hanging On, or How to Get Through a Depression and Enjoy Life (M.B., March 2009)

So Edmond G. Love's 1972 autobiographical novel, Hanging On, Or, How to Get Through a Depression and Enjoy Life

One of the undercurrents of this book, in my view, was how long it took the author and many others to realize just how drastically their circumstances had changed and that the depression was not going away anytime soon. Though Love notes that some historians later would divide the depression into different phases (depression, recovery), for him there was little to distinguish these years and when the depression finally did end, it did so fairly suddenly.

(NOTE: How it ended suddenly? Very interesting to know the conclusive observation paragraphs written by Love: Even in the summer of 1939, the school in which he taught closed 5 weeks early (256). But as WWII began, circumstances finally started to change for the better. "The Depression ended on the day the war began, but it did not become apparent to most of us for some time," says the author.

(NOTE: Great! Could we afford another WWIII to solve an OoP Depression, after Oop is doing a HOPE or Expectation as a "New Deal" copycat?)

Things picked up for a while in 1933 but then in March 1933 the depression hit its "very bottom." Michigan was the first state to close its banks following a run/panic, other states followed and Roosevelt after his inauguration on March 4th closed the banks in the rest of the nation (118-119).

Though hardships continued with Roosevelt in office the tone in 1933 started to change. "When one looks back from a distance of forty years, it is easy to see that the New Deal did not accomplish very much in good hard terms," Love writes. "The period is euphemistically called the era of Recovery, but the same old disasters were overtaking us and the casualties continued. We were still as uncertain in 1936 as we were in 1932. The big difference was that we felt better" (133). Roosevelt's personality -- his "bearing," courage and "rapport with the people" -- "reached out and touched everything" (133).

(NOTE: We are enjoying the "Obama Charisma" which NOW gives us the same HOPE and Expectation as Roosevelt did, enough for us to hang on and not to think about the possibility of ourselves being in a stage of "self-denial." Last night I told my lovely "wife" that "the stock market would be down tomorrow after a big rally of 380 points up today." We'll see if it is right or wrong about my view on a rally of bear market caused by the Citi's "accounting" profit report, not a real sign of uphill for a return of bull market. )

Something else had become apparent, too. The idea that each family and each community could take care of its own and exist like a small island in a great sea was no longer valid. The crisis of the Depression with its poverty and its hopelessness had long since proved too much for cities like Flint, for counties like Genesee County, for states like Michigan.[...]. The whole essence of the New Deal was the abandonment of this small, individualistic outlook in favor of the bigger, stronger, national government and the immense power it could bring to bear on the solutions of the pressing problems which faced us."

Conclusion

Love led an interesting life, reaching adulthood in one of the nation's most difficult eras. Though there are many differences between the 1930s and our era some of what people experienced and how they responded is perhaps not entirely without parallel in modern times.

**** My Two Pennies ****

Well, look at Ben Bernanke's main framework of "stabilizing and revitalizing" our American economy by infusing bailout money into the current banking system, even going far enough to say "never giving up those big banks," I would like to say BB is so so nice as a kind mother who happens to have two big BB, i.e. Boo-Boo to feed his crying infants.

But, I am also wondering if that big "Dolly" are good enough to breast-feed those hungry alligators named by Robert Allen in his book "Nothing Down" to refer to "negative cash flow." Maybe the LP of the boy Napoleon from "Sicily Island" would be big enough. (NOTE: LP is a term means something that only a man has in Chinese, particularly in Taiwanese, it was a "dirty" word, at least deemed as a improper or decent words suitable for a civilized person to speak, let alone a high-ranking official. However, Taiwan's DDP party Foreign Minister Chen, a longtime American resident, used it officially at an open occasion. But here let's just mean "big Picture" or "guts" in English)

Benanke sees limited impact of subprime mess on economy
9:30 AM ET, May 17, 2007 - By Rex Nutting

What was propping up the emerging markets and many foreign markets was the notion of decoupling. The idea with decoupling is somehow the world was large enough to withstand an economic recession in the United States without missing a beat in growing.

Well, decoupling is a wish widely talking about recently in the scale of world economy while the words of "subprime mess would be contained in a small limited sector" was out of BB's wishes list on US economy only. Now, what you have seen? Did BB have a good judgment as he truly believed it was for real?

Did someone told us 40 years ago that the world was sharply narrowed into a "global village"? Who did it? Brezenski in his "Between Two Ages" or Tofler in his "Future Shock." Did someone told us 30 years ago that the world would be absolutely no longer an "open" political economy, but a very tight "woven," as just one, "closed" worldwide political economy as Confucius thought it for China 2000 years ago? Nowaday, no one can escape from the impact of a small event from a remote place almost unknown to him, let alone the biggest American GI. Who said that? You guess it and let me know.

Big banks will not be allowed to fail, Bernanke says: Recovery later this year is not out of the question, says Fed chief

"It was the...collapse of banks and other institutions in late 1930 and early 1931 that made the Great Depression great." - Fed Chairman Ben Bernanke

Humm? Per BB's usage of "IT", I take the liberty to interpret IT sounds clearly to BB there IS one-and-one-only cause to lead us into the Great 1930' Depression, right? Well, he definitely misses reading Love's book "Hanging On, Or, How to Get Through a Depression and Enjoy Life" and the others I happen to read.

Well, interesting enough to know that FDR closed all the banks in America, i. e. letting them fall, if not killing them all after his inauguration in 1933. How come FDR cut all the ties with banks while Obama is insisting on tying us more firmly with them?

Okay, so there exist some situations parallel to the Great Depression. Really, BB would like to make them parallel as he could pretend himself as a scholar using the phrase "others being equal" widely used in the science of economics. As I know, even it is an useful analytical tool or assumption in theory, NOTHING could be equal in reality given a human emotion is involved. How come he would not mention there were a lot of difference between now and then.

For example, there is no "universal credit" rule in our mortgage banking sector now, even it still exists in credit card service sector. In the Depression, a banker would and could call his loan no matter what you had been paid the contract interest-only payment on time months after months. There was no such a thing as amortization out there in 1930. So many things or institutions we are used to NOW are never heard at the Depression. Let's just stop here and don't bother mention other big improvements after the Depression.

So does that mean the conclusion of BB's doctor thesis suggests us that FDR couldn't stop leading us into the Great Depression due to no banking system or banking collapse? That's why BB decides to firmly tie us up with those financial Titanics such as BAC, Citi, without any chance for us to jump on a smaller live boat. Out of his kindness, he believes giving the huge Bailout fund to monster Wall Street bankers should be EXACTLY deemed as actually delivering money to the hands of the Main Street to further up the interest of the public. He truly believes and wants us to believe there is no other way out there, but to keep those super banks from bankruptcy, for rescue actions.

Common! Are you telling us that the Great Depression was trigerred and started at that point of time: 1933? Here I am so confussed. What should be the causes; and what, the effects? Does that mean BB, as a well-acknowledged a brilliant student specialized in the study of the Depression, thought those first 4 years sould not be considered as part of the 10 year contraction of the Depression? Give me a break, BB.

Son of stimulus?
Speaker of the House says she's open to another stimulus injection.

Well, you mean the lady Pelosi could be a great "Son" or what? I am puzzled. Clearly by sex, Pelosi is more qualified than Bernanke as a MOTHER, not a son. Even BB has so much milky liquid in his breast, it would be definitely more important for us to see he could put his smart, bright and shinny head in use than that Dolly wisely used her big boos to be a very successful star.

Wait! Who is the son by this news article? Good question when I look at the following top hot news just came out: Obama defends pet projects and signs spending bill (AP)

President Barack Obama leaves the podium after making remarks on earmark reform, Wednesday, March 11, 2009, in the Eisenhower Executive Office Building in Washington. (AP Photo/Gerald Herbert)AP - President Barack Obama, sounding weary of criticism over federal earmarks, defended Congress' pet projects Wednesday as he signed an "imperfect" $410 billion measure with thousands of examples....Obama signed the bill in private, unlike a number of recent signings that took place with fanfare.

(NOTE: In private? I am wondering why the story sounds like Papa-Mama family business operation? Common! there are $410 billions Public dollars in it. That's a huge number, not even Bill Gates or Warren Buffet could make it in his CEO/ President 4 year term. Tell me, you are just kidding. Would it be a reporter's fabrication? Gee, forgive me for my fast-running mind. We can't go on like this, jumping topics after topics everwhere.)

But sorry to say, Bernanke could be the best student Professor Milton Friedman could possibly have. He is so good and behaves himself to read absolutely nothing, except those books his teacher endorsed and put on the shelves of Ivy Academy. Bernanke might make some intellectuals so shameful who dared to read those books which their university professors believed would be "dangerous." Who are they? You guys may know much better than me.

All I would like to mention here is just one. That is England's Adam Smith who became the first and best student in establishing the science of economics. Well, Adam is not a good student who had a copy of David Hume's "Treatise of Human Nature" at hand and was caught by the school authority. Adam could be nearly expelled from Oxford University as Bill Gate as a Harvard dropout. Don't believe me? Go ask Professors Robert Heilbroner and Lester Thurow if I am a liar.

Obama: U.S. recovery depends on rest of the world

Well, seems some one is going to say "all of us are responsible for this" after saying "American people have to be ready to sacrifice" following the famous statement made by J. F. Kennedy "think about what you can do to your country"? Is now Obama more "realistic" to want to follow Bush's path of strategy, not only to switch his position against Bush's "signing statement" at signing a bill into law, but also to form a friendly "coalition" while running into and in charge of an international crisis.

As S. Russell said, "Give me a break!" Who holds the final responsibility for the Iraqi War to the bone? The costs of Trillions dollars and hundreds of thousands people. Isn't it we the American people alone? What's a coalition"? Face the reality, USA is the major, if not the only, one picking up the checks at most expensive "Iraq" or "Afghanistan" restaurant. Don't look around, there is no way out, period.

Not a bad idea from those MBA, though. To spread the risk, it is called "diversifying." Everybody is responsible for the results, i. e. equally saying that "don't just blame me alone." Very good a student of modern MBA program could be!

But allow me remind myself. Don't you think We American still remains as the one-and-one-only REAL leader, if not the boss, in the world to make it more safer as we were after WWII and in the international Brentwood conference. Would Obama be in a little bit of losing confidence of American's role of leading?

(NOTE: Obama looks taller than all the other four former presidents when they took picture right before Obama took over the oval office, at least I am sure he would be much taller with more guts than the shortie Napoleon. Even he seemed to be the only one holding his hands together in front of himself, that doesn't mean he is lacking of confidence by body language reading. Coversely it may be a good sign to show his humbleness, ready to be wide open to all the perspective views. Ha! it is very interesting to look at the picture and see the big 5 showing their property of current mentality by their body expression. Don't believe me? Go find the valuable picture and read in between. You are going to appreciate the great professionalism the photographer has to catch the core spirit of each of them.)

Never mind that we were the one to mess it up; and we shoud have the honor and dignity to make it up. Even we want to run away from the duty, whom and where we can possibly pass it to? We are still much better off or luckier than Obama if we would think ourselves just free like a bird in this great free country. As an individula, we may do so.

How about Obama? Don't we know that there is only one guy who is the boss in White House vested with an "absolute" presidential power to have final say on every decision according to our Constitution, compared to a British Cabinet system? That guy happens to be Mr. Obama now.

Yes, there is no way for you out after your two year hard fight to get in and I am sorry for you that you would be trapped there for 4 years, President Obama. Some presidents felt being defeated and hopeless, such as LBJ fighting the Vietnam war lonely and painfully all nights long trapped in that little white house. I wish things would be much better for you, not like LBJ. If you could "do the right thing," it would be simple and natural with joy of success (治國如烹小鮮) for you and your recent words "it is not easy" would not be out of your lips again.

Hon. Obama, your have a great opportunity at this critical time to make unprecedently glorious history as President Bill Clinton once said "it makes me so envy to him (Obama.)" Yes, President Obama, it is your honor and privilege to be in that oval office to own such a super power given by God. Also, it is your duty to express your talent, royalty and make contribution to our great country and people if you are a responsible man as you said. Again, don't even think of asking around for help, there is no person out there except the great Uncle SAM in naked and uncovered short sales.

Barack, in deed, it is absolutely up to you as a "naked, isolated and lonely person (孤王寡人)" as a Chinese emperor called himself in some ways when facing a risk and taking his responsibility!

Kathy and Sheila, You Are So Wrong in Helping Home Owners

03-09-09
Ed Tse

Thanks to You, There's More Hope ... But We're Not Done Yet
Friday, March 6, 2009 10:54 AM From: "Center for Responsible Lending" <CRLNewsBrief@responsiblelending.org> To: "e t" <et@yahoo.com>

Center for Responsible Lending A Resource for Predatory Lending Opponents

CRL Action Alert

Thanks to You, There's More Hope ... But We're Not Done Yet

If you're ever tempted to think that your calls and letters to Congress don't make a difference, then remember March 4, 2009. Yesterday evening, the House of Representatives passed the "Helping Families Save Their Homes Act of 2009" (H.R. 1106), a vital reform that finally allows distressed homeowners, as a last resort, to seek loan modifications through the courts. This action, which is a crucial part of the Administration's housing recovery plan, could help prevent a million foreclosures.

*** My Response Email Revised **

Sunday, March 8, 2009 1:57 PM From: "E T" <et@yahoo.com>Add sender to Contacts To: "kathleen.day@responsiblelending.org" kathleen.day@responsiblelending.org

Dear Kathy:

Don't make your lousy means defeat your kindest ends, please.

Sooner or later, you'll find out that Sheila's "loan modification" is simply a fraud, if no intention of scam, just as our organization has accused bankers, mortgage brokers, real brokers and appraisers of making subprime loan fraud now.

ET

Enclosed herewitn some ideas of my 2 articles for your reference

Who Cares the Home Affordability? All We Need is BIG Brother Obama.

Let's say, he is trying very hard to stop housing price falling as Don Quixote was so brave to stand up with an ideological mind "social responsibility," like his supporters Kathleen Day of the nonprofit Center For Responsible Lending. She said in a report Some denounce Obama's homeowner rescue as unfair: "This is the financial equivalent of what Hurricane Katrina did to New Orleans. Did they know they were living below sea level? Yes. Does that mean we shouldn't help them? That's ridiculous."

(NOTE: Yes, it is absurd! I mean, Kathleen's opinion is the most ridiculous words I have heard recently, even I am a news subscriber and supporter to her organization. Well, it is a value she chosen. May I ask: "Kathleen, will you jump into a trouble water to help someone drowning if you don't know how to swim, i.e., you have no sufficient competency and may lose your life, too? That's REALLY ridiculous if I ask you so doing, right?

Sorry, I am an individualist and capitalist, too selfish and realistic to dare to push you into the river, in the name of social responsibility.)

See we are so different! (2)

(NOTE: I have been farting too long. Otherwise, I will talk about Sheila Bair's "loan modification."

It is simply and basically a concept "short sale" used in 1990' by the private sector (banking practice) to meet the needs of a distressed housing market. Nothing really new or creative in this Sheila's idea infusion into our federal policy.

In the past, only a third party is able to do a "short sale," a home owner is NOT allowed acting alone to ask this "favor", without inviting a buyer/ investor involved. The only difference is Sheila officially (still not legally) opens the door for a home owner to negotiate with his banker.

To a consumer, the government plan is even worse, more greedy or much evil than the traditional model used in the private financial sector if we factor into Sheila's "modification" her intention to add a so-called "CAP tax" framework. In essence, she tries to import an "equity sharing" program into her "short sale" hybrid plan.

The "equity sharing" concept used in a hard money loan or venture capital investment in order to boost or generate more fat or extra returns for a greedy investor while he smells a situation where a sign of big hopeless or anxious desperation of his borrower is detected. However, it was hardly used or never seen in a "short sale" deal in the past financial housing practice. That's a sweet dream a banker had never thought reasonable, workable and possible, to even making a request under the nature market forces of a free market.

A banker who wants future "equity sharing" in addition to today's pure "loan relief" knows that a homeowner is in a distressed situation, but he also realistically knows that the third party concerned, i.e. the buyer or investor is NOT. No buyer or investor will accept an "equity sharing" term (or called it CAP tax in governent legal jargon) in a "short sale" under a normal condition. They will walk out the deal if a banker insists. Those buyers are not under duress or in a situation to be intimidated where our poor home owners go under the water of foreclosure (NOTE: I had been there and felt the unbearable pressure in 1989-90).

How dare a public servant Sheila as the Head of FDIC is asking the wonderful perk, a Obama-said stlye of "sacrifice," from a home owner? To whom the sacrifice is supposed to be made? Is it for increasing the benefits of banks or someone else, except aggregate of the owners concerned?

Because Sheila knows the fact that a home owner is desperate and the buyer is the identical hopeless owner/ victim at the same time under her idea. She knows, dealing with someone who has no help to get from but herself, she is the only Savior a home owner can wishfully depend on, count on and put trust on. Is Sheila violating her fiduciary duty to those people who gave her the trust when she swore into her office? Or is she in a "conflict of interest" by presenting both banks and owners? Sure, she will claim she is just a intermediary as a broker working for both sellers and buyers, so as to get her 6% commission for her Uncle SAM brokerage without anyone's notice of tax hike. I have no answer on the possible questionable issue until a judge tells me.

In fact, Sheila is playing a rat trap to catch a home owner as a wolf to the little Red-hood: to give a home owner something with a sweat and kind smile in bold print; then, turn around to take something substantially much bigger back from him in fine prints. This scenario makes me wondering if Sheila used to be a saleswoman who professionally owns knowledge and knows how to sell an insurance without giving out a real pledge of warranty in her policy.

Is watching taxpayer's pocket just a responsibility for a British Parliament member or our American Congressman? In England, no mandated representative is allowed (or it is prohibited by her "Constitution") to initiate a legal bill to increase tax in Parliament. Sure we America is so different. Our Congress has the right, duty and shall introduce so many tax-increasing proposals at any moment under its own discretion. Such as Pelosi's Dem would like to initiate Dem's version of "domestice spending of $400 billion" bill immediately in a week after passing Obama's $800 billion stimulus into law. Why they don't combine both spending into just one act with more consistent, organized and coordinated order? So, what we can expect from our dear Congress and Administration?

On both sides of Atlantic Ocean, it is so supposed for either Federal public employees or the Cabinet in executive branch to propose new tax burden unto people? So what is the big deal for Sheila if she is doing it with additional returns for her friendly bankers or GSIs who are too "bashful" or realistic to ask such goodies?

Is Sheila's concept so big a deal for her, Obama or the News media to brag about? Does it greatly change the way a banker handles his business if a homeowner used a straw man as an investor to do a short sale in the past? Do we have no other way to achieve the same or better result? To me, there is no really strategic breakthrough, but just unnecessary disturbance to the free market cause from all the government plans.

How about your two pennies?

See we are so different! (2)

03-08-09
Ed Tse

See we are so different!

Comment by Dan H

March 6th, 2009 at 8:50 pm

It is plain and simple, the likes of AIG and Citi are already on the bottom under a 1000 ft of water. Time to STOP bailing with our money. They seem to be on a course to print enough money to kill the dollar! Then what do you do….start another war , have another terrorist attack?

There are plenty of well-run banks in this country. We need to support THEM, not sink the whole system for the sake of the TOO-BIG-TO-FAIL crony friends of government. The problem is that we will all loose big-time as the pension funds, retirement accounts and 401Ks are decimated as a result of the fallout.

I converted my IRA/401K money to hard assets periodically as I went along. I had a feeling that something like this would happen. I also set up a disciplined approach to PAY OFF the mortgage EARLY. Home equity loans seemed fairly foolish to me. Why should I risk my home for a vacation ?!!? I can now walk around on, farm, cut firewood and when the time comes, sell off lots from my retirement fund. I won’t loose much in the market. However, we all could loose everything if the system collapses.

*** My 2 Pennies ***

To Dan H:

Thank you for pointing out these two points I kept in mind:
1) There are plenty of well-run banks in this country. We need to support THEM
2) I won't loose much in the market. However, we all could loose everything if the system collapses.

Our Gov't action is wrong for the orientation, because they are up there to only know the feelings of those fat cats' pain. They don't see something, a real "emergency" in the bottom.

Before I retired 5 years ago and moved to a rural area in Texas, I had been in the high or highest social pyramid dealing with some state's Governors. Up there, I was really in blindness "See no evil, Hear no evil." Today, Look at all the government plans, I feel so sorry that nobody in power can see through the fog.

Our conventional wisdom or method to solve American poverty is "full employment." It is wrong said by the poverty specialist Barbara. I'd like to say the assumption "to stimulate our economy is go through saving big banks like Citi, BAC" is terribly wrong.

As Barbara found in 2000, some working class people have to live in a lousy "motel" or his car due to lack of rent deposit, even they are working so hard to stand up for 11 hours. Now, let's look at so-called "tax credit", no matter what it is federal or California state's, how can the bottom 50% of our people come up 20% down to buy a home when subprime loan is history, when a lot of my neighbors are even unable to have $1,000 at hand to put his rental deposit or when HUD, FDIC, bankers hike their loan processing fees? Let alone some don't even have a spare money of $20 to go buy a bag of dog food for a hungry strayed dog coming to their home; or some working couples have to come to me asking for $30 loan for gas tank fill-up to work when the gas was $4 per gallon.

The truth is no matter how low the housing price goes down, there are 50% or more of our people has no capability to be with sufficient down payment to buy a home unless it is free or $7,000 in Detroit. As usual, some have to keep spending their 50%-70% hourly wages on expensive weekly high motel charges, not on a more comfortable and cheaper apartment on the long run. In other words, they have to stay on where they put their asses now: no kitchen, no air conditioning, no living room, no refrigerator, no fan, or window (a caveman?); even sharing the bed with others. They are working peoples, including WalMart's employees. Huh! the biggest world retailer/ private employer to create/ provide jobs. Many of them have to work two jobs to make the end met. Their living condition is making our American society no better than the third world.
Don't believe me? Go read Barbara's book "Nickel and Dimed." Barbara didn't make it up, I see it and feel it everyday to know it is true.

Suffice to say that those invisible poor have no way to buy a home under the current conditions. What's that supposed to mean? No home purchase, equally as to set a clearly written law saying "you are out, working class!" No home purchase, no honey, okay? You are not getting any penny out of government's fake mercy money of home purchase tax credit. Am I right, my hard working class?
Tell you the truth, when I look at the face color of Obama, One thing bothered me so much keeps popping up in my mind (Sorry, I shouldn't mention color, but I have no control of my mind).I recalled the misery of the black slavery when they called a black citizen "NEGRO."

When those slaves set free in 1860', did those WHITE people in power be kind or wise enough to go set up today's "stimulus" plans to give some basic need to help them live decently or independently with hope for the future? What is or are needed for them to start to stand up as a freeman? Did most new freemen have some necessary means to live without the threat of starvation? Absolutely not! They can't even afford their "affordable" shelter as our working class today. They didn't even have a loud crying as those big guys in Wall Street has now cried all day long to express the fear of constant threats of dying (bankruptcy). No, nobody up there is going to give grease because no one cares to see or hear the squeaky noise from and hands out to reach the bottom down there.

For the same token, think about who knows what those poor folks need? Don't just say they are lazy. That will be insulting our intelligence, at least a challenge to Obama's IQ. How come Obama claiming he grew up from the grass roots of lower social class, but just acting as he was one of white autocracy in the past who was so blind to know what a "dependent" poor lives under "social welfare" framework and to provide real help to them in need and in deed? I know a fact that Pres. Obama is the 2nd generation who doesn't have live experience of black slavery in his father's family. He may not have the frame of reference to the hardship our black slaves went through. However, I may have to go back and see how he has done so great to break the social "glass ceiling" than Rev. Jessie.

Full employment would not sufficient to solve the poverty in America. Simple, it is based on a wrong assumption: "social income or wealth will equally distribute or grew among All social classes on our pilot establishment automatically." In fact, the rich gets richer by knowing the new rules such as stock derivatives or being helped to play the paper money game by their attorneys and CPAs. The poor stays in the Ground Zero or is getting poorer without time, energy, knowledge and resources to cope with the new ages by being used up all his time on the new wave of 2 job life style (I am not dare to say as a working blue ant in Communist China). The disparity of national wealth dramatically increased; the wealth accumulated on the top only; money simply didn't go down to the bottom naturally as water, even we have a president who has a middle name "water."

Today, we see all the big fat cats or so-called "too big to fall" institutions has gotten a lot of bailout money. At least enough to spend on "CEO compensation or bonus" to reward those wrongdoings. They are encouraged to "expand spending" of half millions dollar on a weekend party in California to help our government "stimulate" our distressed economy.

Benanke, Hank Paulson and Tim Gaithner (I call them BHT in short, no offense to refer to "bigshit." I truly mean, those wives working Badly enough to put their Husbands Through to be dumped without appreciation, after their husbands get their PHD degree) have the same fallacy assumption: "Give money to the big banks, then others will get loans and economy revitalized." Did we see any liquidity (water) fall down to the bottom? Is that fair to those prudent middle size banks you mentioned here? Is that what we call the spirit of "free competition" to cut out the chance for the good banker to grew into the bigger or biggest when the established ones fail?

Give the poor some fishing tools (a sufficient money to not only buy, but also to plan or invest in themselves), please don't just give them fishy, wasteful "goodies" to barely prolong their life under so-called "temporary shelter assistance" or "social welfare." (Please check what Barbara got in her "charity" basket, you'll know goody is not needy.)

Putting myself into those poor folk's shoes, I wouldn't be so nice as Barbara to say those working class is doing "savior" contribution to our American society, by selling (donating) their labor cheap (not "exploitation" as Karl Marx said?). As Dr. M. L. King, I would rather shout it out loudly : "that is a torture, as cruel as keeping a slave free but naked and hungry, by the name of freedom. I have a dream tomorrow we'll see a world to give people a chance and means to hope, to drive and to excite themselves to plan their future and enjoy the happiness of achievement ."

Sadly enough to say, in the current subsistence level under Obama‘s plans, sometimes it is just like "放生" in Buddhism to set animals free into the wild jungle without rebuilding or revitalizing their abilities to be fit in and live in.


Now is the best time for re-building America! While our government revitalizing US economy and a lot of surplus housing inventory in market, we shall be able at least to easily give the misfortunate invisible poor people "sufficient" down payment to buy their shelter that is the biggest expense to their lives or move out of their colonia, if those taxpayer's money would not to be spend or wasted on those fat cats and red tape.

Best part of it, all of these can be done without a major change of our traditional market rules, PERIOD.

(NOTE: I have been farting too long. Otherwise, I will talk about Sheila Bair's "loan modification." It is simply and basically a 1990' concept of "short sale" in the private sector (banking practice). Nothing really new. In the past, only a third party is able to do a "short sale," a home owner is NOT allowed. The only difference is Sheila officially (still not legally) open the door for a home owner to negotiate with his banker. Is her concept so big a deal to brag about? Does it greatly change the way a banker handles his business if a homeowner used a strawman as an investor in the past? Do we have no other way to achieve the same or better result? To me, no real strategical breakthrough, but just unnecessary disturbance to the free market cause from all the government plans. How about your two pennies?)

Go Out to Govern As a King, Not Stay In to Manage As a Maid, Please!

03-06-09
Ed Tse

House approves bill to let judges modify loans(11 hours ago) +1 Votes 1 Up 0 Dn

Have nothing to say, being fed up by Obama's Dem follows.
In fact, we don't have to tear down the house to re-build it. I mean we don't have to change the basic rules to such a situation.
Well, let them do whatever they want since they control everything in all the branches of our government. We just do whatever we can, Okay?
So cheer up, I will share an article I wrote today with you: Happy to See It Happen. I Told You So Simple.
http://activerain.com/blogsview/968377/Hppay-to-See-It-happen-I-Told-You-So-Simple-Didnt-I

Happy to See It happen. I Told You So Simple, Didn't I?

15 months ago, I put "The real market value is lower than $60K" in my neighbor's case mentioned in the above article. At that time I knew the fact that I could buy the non-performing note underlying the property for $20,000, $15,000 or much less. If nobody is too emotional to base decisions on reason, it is a very realistic goal to accomplish.

In other words, as NAD purchased the Ernst's note of $150,000 for $96.296, it will cost me, say, $15,000 or less. And at the end as NAD got $99,900 out of the deal, it will be much easier for me to make a NEW principal of $40,000 loan since I give out more discount of 50-60% compared to NAD's 37%.

Is it difficult to reach my goals to grow the amount of my cost into double, 3 times or 4 times to have my profit in jsut 1 month or 2? Not really tough, at least not like a mission impossible.

How do I know that fact? I bought some properties there and know the local market, right? I paid better and bigger properties about $16,000-$21,000 in the area by a performance I call it "a legal bank robbery." I sold them for $55,000-$75,000 at end (my escrow paper can prove it. In AR, I mentioned I sold a property last January for $72,000. Guess how much I paid for it?)

I gave my buyers an opportunity to buy a very decent place as their "affordable" home at 70% market price with easy terms and no FICO score check. My properties shall be in "heaven" condition as opposed to those inhibitable "Hell" conditions for the average American working class, mentioned in barbara Ehrenreich's book "Nickel and Dimed." My annual percentage of yield goes more than 200% makes me feel guilty sometimes. I always wonder: do I have to charge such a huge profit?

After all, as a real capitalist shall be the one as Mark Haroldson put in his book "Financial Genius" and, as long as my buyer poor folks are happy to make their payment today, less than the rent they used to pay yesterday, and live in a much much better shelter they own, I have my life to support. If later they encounter hardship, I will be in a better position to help them to reduce their obligations as NAD has done.

So far, I do thing easy, nature and simple. I hate complexity. I don't do anything tricky and fancy as our politicians or those IVY MBA play all kinds of trivia, such as rebate, tax credit or deductible, to make people busy and confused. By making those small smoke "lip service" stuffs to set qualifications, our politicians are eying on a small branch to disregard the root. Our government makes more red tape to increase administrative costs to taxpayers, in addition to compete or "challenge" the wisdom of their people to make people's life more miserable and difficult.

Why so big a powerful government as USA acts like a spoied kid focusing on those small fine and dizzy prints to ignore the key, basic and vital issues or values? I wonder if they are really in a position of "governing", not acting as a manager as a Maid to daily life activities like sweeping the floor? (NOTE: sometimes they even spread the toxic germs everywhere. To better understand the point, please go read Barbara Ehrenreich's great book "Nickel and Dimed" to get the feelings of a Maid she had.)

In the past 5 years, nobody has problems in making payment. Nobody defaults or unhappy about me. One of them even paid me off the entire amount of my seller financing in a year after they bought a property from me.

Trust me, it is Knowledge and Vision to overcome the hurdles to easily make a breakthrough, no matter which field it is in scientific, technological, culture, social or economic field.