I had an e-mail from some clients overseas asking about the average price per square foot in ZIP code 78249 to help them decide whether to make an offer on a second home and for how much. They saw the Board of Realtor statistics published from December and were wondering if the average price per square foot would fall to $75 to $78 in this neighborhood. Here's the gist of my reply, recycled for the blog in case it's interesting to others:
The problem with ZIP codes is they are funny shapes and 78249 goes all over the place-I know because I used to live in it and I still have a rental property in it! The two are wildly different. The average price per SF is not a meaningful number, because the ZIP code contains a variety of homes. San Antonio is now the eighth-largest US city, so we are talking about a lot of homes, too.
According to the local Board of Realtors, sales prices are projected to stay level and even rise into the spring and most of the new-home inventory is expected to be sold by the end of the year. Because San Antonio has reasonably priced real estate that has not shot up in value, it is not expected to go down much either. There was a slowdown last fall, in the lower price ranges especially, because of the subprime mortgage industry trouble, but homes in good condition and well priced continued to sell. There is a six-month inventory (last time I checked anyway), which is skewed towards a buyer's market, but nothing like Las Vegas, Miami, San Diego, or Tampa.
When I do a search on the MLS of single-family homes that have sold to date since September 1 in 78249, I get the following results: the lowest priced were 10 homes under $100,000. Two homes sold for over $1.2 and $1 million respectively; followed by three over $500,000 and three in the mid- to high-$400,000s. Of the rest, 44 sold for $200,000 to $300,000; 110 sold for $150,000 to $200,000; and 91 sold for $100,000 to $150,000.
With these figures the average sold price for all of 78249 was $178,057; the median was $159,853; and the average sold price per square foot was $85.
However, the sales price per square foot also varies a lot with the size of the home. There is a certain "base" price per square foot that it takes to build any house. Then as you increase the size, you reach efficiencies of scale. On top of that, of course, you add the features and finish-out: a mansion will obviously cost more per square foot because of the marble floors and gold faucets than a regular tract home. But different-sized tract homes in the same subdivision, by the same builder, even with the same degree of finish-out, will have a different price per square foot. You'd have to know exactly how many homes sold and for what size, and what features they had, for the average price per square foot to be useful in a large area such as a ZIP code.
This concludes the broadcast portion of my message to my clients.
Now I'm a big-picture person myself, and I love to look for trends and patterns, but sometimes you have to zoom in a bit to see the trees in the forest.
Or in this case, zooming in even further to see the daffodils among the trees! This was taken in 2004, and the squirrels have probably eaten all the tasty flowers by now. But if we get some nice new tenants who want to plant some more, I'll buy the bulbs!
San Antonio has a diversified, growing economy and continues to add jobs. One of my favorite sectors as it relates to investment properties is the medical/biotech industry. Until recently, hospitals were located mainly downtown and biotech, research, schools, and other medical facilities were concentrated on the northwest part of the city at the South Texas Medical Center.
In my opinion, the Medical Center area has long been one of the best areas for investment properties because it attracts prospective tenants with well-paying jobs as well as students and interns the University of Texas Health Science Center. Methodist Hospital, Christus Santa Rosa, and ancillary clinics and doctors' offices are clustered in the area, which continues to expand north. The South Texas Oncology and Hematology and South Texas Accelerated Research Therapeutics are working together on the construction of a cancer treatment and research facility, with the planned opening at the end of this year. Other major employers, such as USAA and Valero Oil, are located nearby, as is the University of Texas at San Antonio, the second-largest UT campus.
But the gigantic planned community of Stone Oak is rapidly adding to its offerings of medical facilities, too. The new Methodist Stone Oak Hospital, set to open in the spring of 2009, will serve an area with a higher-income demographic in general than the Medical Center. Tenants are filling up the 81,000-square-foot Plaza at Concord Park in Stone Oak. In addition, construction on the first medical office building in Agora Palms, a 69-acre mixed-use development next to Methodist Stone Oak Hospital, is under way.
The major difference between the two areas is in price. Many of the neighborhoods around the Medical Center are made up of older (than 20 years) and/or smaller (than 1500 square feet) homes that are priced at or under San Antonio's median price of $150,000. They are in Northside Independent School District, a well-regarded school district, as well as the fourth-largest in Texas. Over the last few months, single-family homes in the area of the Medical Center/UTSA/USAA have ranged in price from $100,000 to 7 times as much for homes near the prestigious Oak Hills Country Club. The average sold price is $160,000, and the median sold price is bang-on San Antonio's median of $150,000.

(5702 Charlie Chan, a 4-bedroom near the Medical Center available for rent by yours truly for $1,149/month)
The Stone Oak community is in North East Independent School District. The property tax rate in North East is a little higher, and (possibly as a consequence) there are more schools rated exemplary by the Texas Education Agency here than any other school district in San Antonio. In the last few months, the homes in Stone Oak (a much smaller market area than those around the Medical Center) ranged in price from $140,000 to the $600,000s, with an average sold price of $258,000 and a median of $249,000, and were brand-new to 20 years old.
An alterative to the high prices in Stone Oak, but still close to the medical facilities, is the Encino Park group neighborhoods located just on the other side of the east boundary of Stone Oak. Sold prices range from $140,000 to the high $300,000s, with the average being $221,000 and the median sold price $201,000. They are also located in North East school district, and range in age from new to the mid-20s, with most being under 10 years. Growth is continuing north along Highway 281 and new-home prices per square foot are naturally higher than those for resales, making these homes in an established neighborhood attractive.

(2831 Sierra Salinas, a 4-bedroom home I sold in 2006, located in Woods of Encino Park, which recently rented for $1,425)
Single-family homes tend to be located along a spectrum from income at one end to capital gains at the other. If you're strictly interested in cash flow, you may want to stay with the Medical Center area. In the middle of the spectrum, you could head farther west into the general area of Northwest Crossing and Braun Station, the attractive established neighborhoods that can also appeal to military residents from Lackland AFB to the west. If you want more high-income tenants or future buyers, growth, and future appreciation, Stone Oak might be what you're looking for, with Encino Park being in the middle of the spectrum.
One of San Antonio's largest employers, Fort Sam Houston, will be getting even bigger in the next few years: $1.5 billion bigger. Fort Sam (as it's known here) has 19 new buildings on the way, and another 4 buildings scheduled for renovation under the 2005 Defense Base Closure and Realignment Commission--somewhat ironically, since many San Antonians vividly remember the closure of Kelly AFB, another huge employer in the military city.
Fort Sam has a long history of caring for wounded soldiers. It is home to the Brooke Army Medical Center (BAMC), which is a Level 1 trauma center with a world-renowned Burn Ward. The Joint Center of Excellence for Battlefield Health and Trauma Research is the next project on the books. It broke ground last week and is scheduled to be completed by the end of 2009. The 150,000-square-foot facility is costing $92 million, and is only one of the new construction projects to support health training and battlefield care.
When all the dust has settled, 10,500 more people will be added to Fort Sam's payrolls, both military and civilian personnel. This means that San Antonio's need for housing in the north-central and northeast area of the city, both for rentals and primary homes for military personnel and their families relocating here, will continue to grow in the near future.

I collect old postcards from places I've lived and visited. Here's a nice one of the Fort Sam Quadrangle. I used to go there all the time to pet the deer and rabbits. The ducks and peacocks were harder to get close to.
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