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Alison Miller

Good News from Realty Times - And It's About Time!

Great news - this just in from Realty Times today.

Read the Full Story At: http://realtytimes.com/rtpages/20090908_realestateoutlook.htm

Realty Times May 26, 2009 - Real Estate Recovery Underway?

Real Estate Outlook: Recovery Underway
by Kenneth R. Harney

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The pattern gets clearer week after week: We are looking at a slow-motion housing recovery that is itself feeding into a broader economic recovery that should have us out of recession later this year.

Now that's not to ignore the fact that there are markets in the country that still face very challenging economic dynamics, with no real turnaround in view yet on housing sales, prices and unemployment.

But the national numbers are telling us something important. And they increasingly look positive.

Take last week's new home construction starts and permits reports. Your local paper or the network news may have said housing starts dropped again, but that was misleading.

The facts are that the Commerce Department found that apartment starts -- new multifamily units -- took a drop in April, but starts of new single family homes were up by 3 percent, and permits for future construction of detached single family homes jumped by nearly 4 percent.

That's the second straight month of increases. Home builders themselves are seeing a turnaround -- more shoppers in their models and showrooms, more contracts, fewer cancellations.

The latest survey of builder confidence, released last week by Wells Fargo and the National Asociation of Home Builders, found sentiment up again for the second straight month. This is for real.

Consumer confidence in the economic outlook also continues to get better and better. The latest University of Michigan consumer sentiment poll took a three point jump overall … and a 6 percent jump in terms of consumers' expectations for economic improvements ahead.

There are other, less widely publicized signs that we've digging out of the recession as well. For example, economists at Northwestern University say the fact that new weekly claims for unemployment insurance peaked last month -- and have been dropping ever since -- is a sign that the national economy is past the worst.

Treasury Secretary Timothy Geithner told a congressional panel about other, more technical indicators of growth ahead -- such as narrowing spreads on corporate and municipal bonds, smaller risk premiums on short-term inter-bank loans and decreased credit protection costs at the largest U.S. banks.

Finally, consumer interest rates continue to be about as stimulative for economic expansion as they possibly could: Mortgage rates dropped last week by a tenth of a percent -- 30-year fixed rate mortgages are at 4,7 percent with an average one point, and 15-year rates are at 4.4 percent.

Remember back to how you felt last September and October when the global financial system was falling apart? Now think about how you feel about the economy today.

It's a refreshing comparison. <!-- End -->

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If You Need Foreclosure Help, Shop Smart and Check References!!

I just read an alarming article in the New York Times this morning about the number of fraudulent "foreclosure workout specialists" that are popping up in the marketplace. We all know that unethical people are present in every market, so it's best to be an informed consumer and shop smart if you need help with your mortgage. Here are some tips I've gleaned from months of talking to people with loan problems:

1. TALK TO YOUR LENDER FIRST ABOUT A WORKOUT. It sounds basic, but it is worth repeating: TALK TO YOUR LENDER FIRST

  • More and more lenders are now adjusting to the volume of workout requests they receive and are learning to handle them more efficiently. It's very important to remember that each lending company is different, but give your lender a chance to help you before you start shopping for a third-party company to work out our loan problems. After all, it is far less expensive for them to help you with your current loan than it is to foreclose on you, so it's in their best interest to make it work.
  • In 2007 and early 2008, lenders were just as unprepared as homeowners for the tsunami of loan adjustment requests suddenly coming their way. They were not staffed appropriately, and did not have the systems and procedures in place to deal with such a high volume. As a result it was difficult for many homeowners to get through to someone who could help them. In addition, many of the lending companies were struggling with their own business survival, as we saw with the large number of failures and takeovers that occurred. In my opinion we will see a trend of continuing improvement as lenders get better at this essential task.

There are ethical third-party companies in the marketplace who can help with loan workouts or short sales, but as per the New York Times article there are unethical ones as well. Spring Street Properties' short sales negotiators never charge anyone unless they are successful in negotiating the short sale. If they are successful then Spring Street Properties pays the fee. The homeowner never pays the fee regardless of the outcome.

This blog is the opinion of this writer only.