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Steven Keefe

Crestline/Lake Gregory Home Sales for 2008

01-06-09
Steven Keefe

The following chart shows all single family home sales in the Crestline Market reported to Rim Association of Realtors for the calendar year 2008 as of January 4, 2009.

Firm Sellers Buyers Total
Coldwell Banker Sky Ridge Realty 43 25 68
Bibby Realty 9 10 19
Remax Lake Arrowhead 5 13 18
Out of Area Broker 0 17 17
Lynne B. Wilson and Assoc 8 8 16
Realty World Mountain Resorts 8 8 16
Remax Crestline 8 5 13
Cozy Cabins Realty 4 8 12
Prudential California Realty 7 4 11
Century 21 High Country 9 1 10
ERA Bruin Trojan Realty 8 2 10
Century 21 San Moritz 0 8 8
Lakeview Realty 4 4 8
Exit Realty 4 3 7
Century 21 Prestige Properties 2 4 6
Greg Grant Realty 2 4 6
The Parkinson Group 5 0 5
Windermere Lake Arrowhead 2 3 5
Highlander Real Estate 0 3 3
Coldwell Banker Running Springs 1 2 3
Coldwell Banker Rim O The World 0 2 2
Century 21 Bonnie Blue 2 0 2
Prime Properties 0 2 2
Mountain Cabin Real Estate 2 0 2
Mountain Top Producers 2 0 2
Shear Realty 2 0 2
Herrington Real Estate 0 2 2
Century 21 Bill Baker 0 1 1
Crestline Real Estate 0 1 1
Ash Realty 1 0 1
Mountain Life Realty 1 0 1
Southern California First Financial 1 0 1
Total 140 140

Lake Arrowhead Real Estate 2008 Listings Sold

01-04-09
Steven Keefe

The following chart shows all single family home sales reported to Rim Association of Realtors for the calendar year 2008 as of January 4, 2009

Firm Sold
Coldwell Banker Sky Ridge Realty 101
Re/Max Lake Arrowhead 51
Century 21 High Country 18
Prudential California Realty 15
Mountain Country Realty 10
Lynne B. Wilson and Assoc 8
Windermere Lake Arrowhead 8
Keller Williams Lake Arrowhead 4
ERA Bruin Trojan 3
The Parkinson Group 3
Ultimate New Home Sales 3
Mountain Top Producers 2
Sothebys 2
Prime Properties 2
Associated Realtors 1
Bob French 1
Hilltop Real Estate 1
Lake Arrowhead Realty Co. 1
Lakeview Realty 1
Realty World Mountain Resorts 1
Shear Realty 1
So. Cal First Financial 1
Tarbell Real Estate 1
Total 239

Mountain Real Estate: Residential Home Sales 2008 vs. 2007

01-04-09
Steven Keefe

The following chart shows all single family home sales on the mountain reported to Rim Association of Realtors for the calendar year 2008 vs. 2007 as of January 4, 2009. The figures represent a 14% drop in number of sales and a 21% decrease in median sales price across the mountain.

Most areas experienced decreased sales and median sales prices, although some areas actually saw an increase in sales and some held their own with regard to value.

2008 Figures
Community Sales Median
Arrowbear 24 $ 132,250
Arrowhead Villas 34 $ 201,000
Lake Arrowhead 239 $ 389,000
Cedar Glen 15 $ 153,000
Crestline 140 $ 177,450
Deer Lodge Park 6 $ 180,625
Green Valley Lake 24 $ 167,050
Lakefront 16 $ 1,821,515
Running Springs 97 $ 181,000
Sky Forest 15 $ 230,000
Twin Peaks/Blue Jay 36 $ 183,500
Total 646 $ 270,000
2007 Figures
Community Sales Median
Arrowbear 24 $ 187,000
Arrowhead Villas 31 $ 235,500
Lake Arrowhead 299 $ 510,000
Cedar Glen 13 $ 190,000
Crestline 119 $ 289,500
Deer Lodge Park 5 $ 449,000
Green Valley Lake 29 $ 249,900
Lakefront 23 $ 1,850,000
Running Springs 133 $ 299,000
Sky Forest 21 $ 297,000
Twin Peaks/Blue Jay 52 $ 257,500
Total 749 $ 340,000
Difference 2008 from 2007
Community Sales Median
Arrowbear 0 -29%
Arrowhead Villas 10% -15%
Lake Arrowhead -20% -24%
Cedar Glen 15% -19%
Crestline 18% -39%
Deer Lodge Park 20% -60%
Green Valley Lake -17% -33%
Lakefront -30% -2%
Running Springs -27% -39%
Sky Forest -29% -23%
Twin Peaks/Blue Jay -31% -29%
Total -14% -21%

What it is going to take in this market.

12-15-08
Steven Keefe

The only property that is going to sell in this economy is one that is priced correctly. The successful agents challenge is preparing the seller for the competition.

Recent real estate figures, stack pretty tall against speedy sales and big profits in many markets including the So Cal mountain communities. Inventory is up significantly and transactions are fewer leading to significant competition for those wanting to sell.

Lending guidelines have tightened, but the buyers that are out there are in most cases qualified. Most are putting down larger down payments and taking advantage of the historically low rates. Sellers need to position their property to appeal to these buyers.

First thing to determine is do you really want to sell? If you are testing the waters, now is not the time. Don't bother putting it out there unless you are serious about selling.

Second, have your agent prepare a detailed price summary. Evauate honestly the competition and price your property below not at market value to move it.

Third, don't chase the market down. Small price reductions don't do any good in this market. If you are going to reduce it, Reduce it significantly to make an impact and get the price below the market.

Fourth, Stage the property. Make sure it looks its best. Put away as much as you can. Your nick nacks don't sell... in fact they may not sell your home.

Fifth, You need the right agent and company. Don't risk it in this market. You need the best. Call me if you want a recommendation. I have the best team of agents on the mountain. No one sells more than Coldwell Banker Sky Ridge Realty.

Hope for Homeowners

10-29-08
Steven Keefe

Earlier this month the Federal government unveiled additional mortgage assistance for homeowners at risk of foreclosure. The "Hope for Homeowners" program will refinance mortgages for some borrowers who are having difficulty making their mortgage payments. , but can afford a new loan that will be insured by HUD's FHA.

This program began October 1, 2008 and will go through September 30, 2011. The program is available only to owner occupants and will offer 30 year fixed rate financing only.

The following eligibility requirements will apply:

  • The home must be a primary residence, and the homeowner can not own any other residential property, such as second homes or rentals.
  • The existing mortgage must have been originated on or before January 1, 2008 and the homeowner must have made at least 6 payments.
  • The homeowner must not be able to pay their existing mortgage without assistance.
  • As of March 2008 the total monthly mortgage payments due were more than 31 percent of the homeowners monthly gross income.
  • The homeowner must certify they have not been convicted of fraud in the past 10 years, intentionally defaulted on debts, and did not knowingly or willingly provide false information to obtain their existing mortgage(s).

The following provisions also apply:

  • The loan amount may not exceed a maximum of $550,440.
  • The new mortgage will be no more than 90% of the new appraised value including any financed upfront mortgage insurance premium.
  • The upfront mortgage insurance premium is 3 percent and the annual mortgage insurance premium is 1.5%.
  • The holders of the existing liens must waive all pre-payment penalties and late payment fees.
  • The existing 1st Mortgage holder must accept the proceeds of the new loan as full settlement for the outstanding indebtedness.
  • Existing subordinate lenders must release their outstanding mortgage liens.
  • Closing costs may be:
    1. Financed into the new loan provided the value of the new loan does not exceed 90% of the newly appraised value of the home.
    2. Paid from the borrower.
    3. Paid by the servicing lender or third party.
    4. Paid by the originating lender from premium pricing.
  • The homeowner must agree to share with FHA both the equity created at the beginning of the new mortgage and any future appreciation in the value of the home.
  • The borrower can not take out a second mortgage for the first 5 years of the loan, except under certain circumstances for emergency repairs.

There may be a certain number of homeowners in our market that may benefit from this program, but it is my feeling that the requirements are stringent and may not be realistic. For further information on this program or if you would like to discuss eligibility, please contact me at my office 909.336.2131 or via email at steve@cbskyridge.com