Todd Houghton

Investing in Real Estate 5 - Large (5+ unit) Apartment Building

This blog will discuss a type of real estate investment, large apartment buildings, in the Observatory Park area in Denver.

What this investment is: Still targeting tenants for 6-12 months at a time, buildings with more than five units are considered "commercial" property. The loans are more difficult to qualify for, and usually a larger down payment is needed. Uncommon for the new investor; this is usually what landlords with several years of experience "trade up" to. Cash flows on larger buildings are more stable than for smaller buildings, and the economies of scale make it practical (and desirable) to hire a property manager to take over most the work for you. This takes reduces the hassle factor of the landlord process.

Equity needed: Being able to document your income and your assets will be critical. For a commercial loan, your net worth should generally be at least as much as the loan you are seeking. The good news is that the commercial loan usually does not show up on your credit report, so it doesn't count towards the "four investment home limitation" from Fannie / Freddie.

Importance of credit: Essential. A 720 FICO is a must. A 740 would be better.

Importance of experience with contractors: Some exposure would be helpful, but you are not likely to encounter construction projects any more difficult than you have maintaining your own personal residence. We run classes on how to do this from time to time. Go to http://www.yourcastle.org/events.cfm to see when the next session is.

Important of experience with property managers: Not important; the majority of our clients manage their own rentals when they get started. Ideally you will have started with some smaller investment rentals and built property management experience. Now, when you have to finally manage a property manager, it will be easy since you have done the job yourself in the past.

Home appreciation near T-Rex light rail line stations have out-performed the market
Other cities such as Portland found that homes near light rail lines have out-performed the market in terms of price appreciation. The newest light rail line on the south east corridor (it was built during the T-REX I-25 expansion) bears this out. In the last two years, the average home within two miles has appreciated 4% while the metro Denver average is off 8%. We've shared this with our clients, and many decide to try to purchase homes near future light rail stops in anticipation of future appreciation.

Recap of First Quarter 2008 Home Price Performance

The average home price in Metro Denver increased +2% in the full year 2005 to the full year 2006, from $309,000 to $317,000. Comparing 2006 to 2007, the average home price across the metro dropped 2%, to $311,000. The first quarter of 2008 was $278,000 vs. the first quarter of 2007 was $296,000: a 6% decrease. Note that prices in the first quarter are usually a bit less than the rest of the year. This is because families that tend to purchase larger, more expensive homes tend to move in the summer months when their kids are out of school.

The average price of a foreclosure or short sale dropped -3% to $188,000 from 2006 to 2007. The average price of a non-distress sale increased 5% to $370,000. Sales volume over the last twelve months is off -4% for DSF/ASF. Foreclosure and short sale volume is up +31%; non-distress seller volume is off 20%. This trend continued in the 1Q 2008; foreclosure volume was up another 15% at the expense of the non-distress sellers.

Some areas did better than others. The attached chart shows different neighborhoods in Denver. Each region has the neighborhood's name and the percentage of sales in the last twelve months that were either short sales or bank-owned properties. The second line has the price change the twelve months from April 2007 to March 2008 vs. the twelve months immediately preceding. Next, you'll see the average home price in the last twelve months and the number of homes that were sold.

The good news is that the foreclosures are likely to peak in the next six to nine months. Many of the foreclosures were due to resetting rates on ARMs (adjustable rate mortgages). There are two reasons. First, according to Bank of America data, the volume of ARM resets is set to peak in March 2008. It often takes six months or a bit longer for an ARM reset to conclude in the sale of a foreclosed home. Second, the index rates that many ARMs use have declined lately. As a result, some borrowers that might have had a huge shock if their rate reset a year ago might get less of an increase today. For these reasons, we're likely to hit the bottom of this cycle this year.

There had to be at least twenty sales in the last year for an area to be included. The numbers are more reliable in areas where there were more sales.

Source: Your Castle Real Estate analysis, MLS data

Take a look at the first page, for AUN (Aurora North). Note these positive market trends this year:
- number of active listings steadily declining
- average list price pretty stable (finally!)
- U/C up dramatically
- Number of sales / month up (partially seasonality)
- DOM dropping
- Stability in average sold prices and sold price as % of list
- Sold price as % original price UP a lot - banks are getting better at pricing
- Number of expired listings down

Every indicator is improving this year in AUN. You will see the same trends in DSW (southwest Denver County), but not as marked an improvement as AUN.

By contrast look at DSE (southeast Denver County).
- listings are up (they should be - seasonality)
- Note the average list price ($758,000) is a lot higher than the average sold price ($418,000). Lots of expensive listings brining up the average ask price, but apparently they are not selling
- DOM (Days on Market) declining as it normally would due to seasonality
- Average price declining rather rapidly. Probably a mix issue - smaller, cheaper homes are probably selling better.

Since these homes in DSE are pricier, it has more of an effect on the "average" sales price on metro Denver. Oddly, we could see improvement led by the cheapo neighborhoods, with the lux neighborhoods falling behind for a while. It will be interesting to watch.

(C) Copyright 2008 Your Castle Real Estate

Colorado Mortgage Broker Licensing

In response to the troubled national real estate market and Colorado's high volume of home foreclosures, efforts have increased to make higher caliber professionals involved in real estate. Licensing, rules and regulations have become more stringent for agents, appraisers, title companies and mortgage brokers. In regards to mortgage brokers, the below items are mandatory. No longer can someone open up the Yellow Pages, claim to be a mortgage broker and then be compensated for placing a loan --- what a novel concept. Before committing to a mortgage broker, please make sure that they are licensed in Colorado by searching for them on the following link: http://eservices.psiexams.com/crec/search.jsp

• Licensing
  All mortgage brokers conducting business in CO must be licensed with the Division of Real Estate and pass the criminal background check. Only those mortgage brokers who are licensed or exempt from licensure by law may broker a mortgage, offer to broker a mortgage, act as a mortgage broker, or offer to act as a mortgage broker. Licensing Observatory Parktration and renewal is $200 every three years.

•· Surety Bond
Prior to licensing, an applicant for license shall post with the Director of the Division of Real Estate a surety bond of $25,000. Yearly premium approximately $190.00.

•· Errors & Omissions Coverage

All CO mortgage brokers must carry Errors & Omissions coverage. For mortgage brokers with less than five years of experience, the annual premium is $600. With five years or greater lending experience, the premium is $500 per year.

•· New Pre-Licensing Education & Continuing Education

1. Complete 40 hours of licensing education and pass the two-part licensing exam (Mortgage Lending Basics & State and Federal Law) by January 1, 2009. Approximate cost for course is $250 and $74 for the exam.
2. Complete a minimum of nine hours of continuing education every three years.