For Sale Vs. Sold

In the last 15 months, inventory levels topped out nearly a year ago in June 2008. Since then, they have been on a steady decline, fueled by seasonally consistent and steady sales. April's pending home sales are also high, indicating that May's closed sales will be in line with the continuing sales trends.
Days on Market - Sold Vs List Price (as a Percentage)

The average days on market indicates how long listings are remaining on the market before they are sold. One important point to note is that these numbers do not take into account those listings that do not end up selling, and instead indicate how long fairly priced homes will take to sell.
You will also see on this graph how much a home sold for, versus its list price. An obvious trend indicates that homes are now selling for less than their list price, which is a different story than what we saw a few years ago. In the last 6-7 months, this number has decreased on average by 1%, with most home sales selling on average at 96% of the list price, whereas it was a bit higher last year.
In the last quarter, we see a nudge up in the number of average Days on Market, from around 65 days last year to around 78 days.
Average Price - Sale Vs. Sold

This is a very interesting graph. The Average List Price (green line) has been on a steady and significant increase. The Average Sold Price (red line) was on a steady decline until January of this year. In January, the Average Sold Price then started increasing, and has been doing so for 2009.
Some people may look at this and think that we have hit the bottom of the real estate market in the Greater South Bay. I caution against that assumption as the Greater South Bay encompasses so many different cities and micro-markets. These numbers could be skewed by high sales in one area, but lackluster sales in another area. It is recommended that a more focused analysis be done to determine the state of the market for a specific area.
Months of Inventory

Anytime inventory is more than 6 months, it is considered to be a buyer's market.
The Months of Inventory have been very steadily declining since July 2008, with a few small blips in January and February 2009. Strong sales and the continued reduction of inventory are the prime reason for this steady decline. It will be interesting to see what comes in the next few months as we enter the summer real estate season.
Summary
I can't believe it has been since November 2008 that I have assembled my market reports! So many interesting things have happened: strong sales, reduced inventory, buyer incentives, record-low interest rates.
The graphs in this report are undeniable evidence that homes are selling! But what we don't see is something that I have observed through my experience - most of the homes that are selling are doing so in the lower price points. I would venture to say that the $300,000-$500,000 price range makes up the majority of the home sales.
Far fewer homes are selling in the $2,000,000+ price range. That's sad news for builders, of which a fair part of the higher end inventory is made up of. This could present some opportunities for buyers looking in this price point. Many builders are open to "creative financing", considering lease options or even carrying part of the loan. These are financing opportunities that would have been laughed down just 2 years ago.
I also want to comment on a recurring experience that I have with my buyers. My buyers who are actively looking for homes right now are getting frustrated. Why? The inventory that is on the market is not of the best quality! Many short sale listings aren't left in the best condition, and the same goes for bank owned homes. There are numerous "fixers", but very few homes that are in move-in ready condition. However, when a home comes on the market that is move-in ready and it is priced fairly, it's like a feeding frenzy! In the last 6 months, every single offer that I have submitted for my clients have been a multiple offer situation! So even though it is a buyer's market, there is big competition for the attractive, move-in ready homes.
So, you are probably still wondering, "Are we at the bottom?" In my opinion, I don't believe so - but we are getting closer! But as I cautioned earlier in the report, a more focused analysis of smaller areas/markets is recommended. Also, the industry is expecting to see a large number of bank owned homes hit the market in the next few months, just in time for the summer season. This is just a prediction, so only time will tell if we are correct about that.
If you are considering a home purchase, or you need to sell, I would love to earn your business. My team and I have the knowledge and expertise needed to help you make an educated and comfortable real estate decision. We would be happy to arrange a no-obligation consultation with you.
Tiffany Wilson has lived in the South Bay of Los Angeles County for almost 10 years. She and her family enjoy the safety and rich family features that the beach communities of the South Bay have to offer, including a close and neighborly community. Also, having experienced an out-of-country move to California over 10 years ago, she is perfectly positioned to assist out-of-state and foreign buyers in their search for real estate in the South Bay and the additional surrounding communities of Los Angeles and Orange County. She can be reached directly at tiffany.wilson@shorewood.com or 310-503-0557.
I am very excited about the upcoming Assisted Housing Stability and Energy and Green Retrofit Investments Stimulus program (phew, that's a mouthful), and I want to start by thanking Tiffany Humsfeld for pointing it out to me! But I can't horde this information for myself, because for those of you who own homes already, you may finally have an opportunity to get financial help to upgrade your home to make it more energy efficient.
This is exciting because up until now, there were primarily programs for home buyers to get access to funds for energy efficient upgrades (by the way - these are EEMs, or Energy Efficient Mortgages. Call or email me for more information). So for those of us who have been in our home for 30 days or 30 years, we didn't have access to similar programs to help us make energy efficient upgrades to our home.
At this point, details have not been released about the program, but I have requested to be informed from the program coordinators when they are available. I will be sure to share it here when I know more.
So, what can we expect from this program? I can only speculate, but forget dreams of installing solar power at home on the government! I suspect that the participating homeowner will be required to order an Energy Appraisal, which will identify some of the top retrofits that can be done which will lower their energy costs enough to essentially pay for the cost of the retrofits over their lifetime. Examples of this can include replacing a tank water heater with a tankless water heater, weatherstripping doors and windows, or installing insulation in various parts of the home.
So, the rule of "green" thumb (heh, heh... I just made that up) is that green retrofits and upgrades save you money. But that's not the only benefit to your pocketbook: statistics have shown that home buyers are willing to pay MORE for homes that have green upgrades.
If you would like more information on this program, you can click here to visit HUD's website.
Tiffany Wilson has lived in the South Bay of Los Angeles County for over 10 years. She and her family enjoy the safety and rich family features that the beach communities of the South Bay have to offer, including a close and neighborly community. Also, having experienced an out-of-country move to California over 10 years ago, she is perfectly positioned to assist out-of-state and foreign buyers in their search for real estate in the South Bay and the additional surrounding communities of Los Angeles and Orange County. She can be reached directly at tiffany.wilson@shorewood.com or 310-503-0557.
I am VERY proud to announce that I have recently earned the GREEN designation from the National Association of Realtors (NAR), demonstrating my dedication to environmentally conscious matters that affect our planet.
Many of my clients, colleagues, and friends don't know this about me, but I grew up in a rural area. Here, I was exposed to environmentally-friendly concepts and practices that were not a new trend, but that were a part of farm-life. Composting, recycling, and energy conservation were just part of life - not a trendy Hollywood campaign.
I have also been active with the non-profit environmental group, Surfrider, and continue to be a strong supporter. I do my part to recycle our trash, change our light bulbs to CFLs, tend an organic garden (Hey! I AM a farm girl!) and teach my children about the importance of being a good steward of the planet.
It has been a goal of mine to incorporate a green philosophy, that is very important to me, into my business, which is why I recently completed specialized courses in order to receive my GREEN designation from NAR. As part of this training, I learned how I can assist my clients who are eco-conscious like myself, help them learn more about green subjects related to real estate, and even put them in touch with other green vendors (contractors, lenders, etc) and builders.
And for those of you who are thinking, "well, I can't buy a new, green home, so how can she help me?" There are green services and products available to ALL homeowners and buyers that can help you not only be more green, but also have the potential to save you money!
It's funny that I am making this announcement the same month that Earth Day falls in - April 22nd actually. So in honor of Earth Day, I encourage you all to make one change in your lives that can not only be friendlier to the environment, but also save you money. Here are a few ideas:
Go green!
In February, I created the first "Top 10 Investment Opportunities in the Greater South Bay" report. That was such a hit that I was asked to create the same reports for Riverside, Long Beach, and Palmdale/Lancaster.
It was my original intent to author these reports each month, but I soon realized that I could not find the time to do this on a monthly basis. So instead, I decided to create them each quarter.
So, I now have the following Q2 Investment Opportunity reports available to all, by request:
These reports are available to anyone for FREE - just send me an email noting the reports you are interested in, and I will email them to you.
Some of you may be looking for a similar report for Single Family Homes. I am willing to produce those reports, but only after signing a Buyer Broker Agreement and setting up an appointment with me for an initial consultation.
If there are requests for reports in other Southern California areas in the future, please email your request to me at tiffany.wilson@shorewood.com.
Happy investing!
Tiffany Wilson has lived in the South Bay of Los Angeles County for over 10 years. She and her family enjoy the safety and rich family features that the beach communities of the South Bay have to offer, including a close and neighborly community. Also, having experienced an out-of-country move to California over 10 years ago, she is perfectly positioned to assist out-of-state and foreign buyers in their search for real estate in the South Bay and the additional surrounding communities of Los Angeles and Orange County. She can be reached directly at tiffany.wilson@shorewood.com or 310-503-0557.
Facing foreclosure can be a very scary prospect. Most homeowners do not know exactly what their situation is and what options are available to them. Even more confusing is when the postcards and letters start arriving where people promise to "get them out of foreclosure for $599", or other promises to that extent. Often that scares people away from speaking with anyone about finding a solution to their situation. That shouldn't be the case.
So, in order to do my part, I want to share the options that are available to homeowners, though not necessarily all of them. Every homeowner's situation is different, so not all options will be available to them.
1. Refinance - only works if the homeowner's credit is intact, their income supports the refinance, and the value of their home is high enough to refinance.
2. Loan Modification - modify the terms and rate of a homeowner's existing loan so that they can continue to make payments in full and on time. Bank must agree to do a loan modification.
3. Short sale - homeowner sells their home for less than what is owed, and the lender pays the Realtor's commission. Lender must agree to the sale.
4. Deed in lieu of foreclosure - the homeowner returns the keys (deed) to the lender and walks away from the home. The lender does not have to agree to this though.
5. Walk away - the homeowner does nothing, the home forecloses, and the lender typically becomes the new owner.
Some people may even say that selling to a real estate investor is an option. I will admit that it could be an option, but it is important to work with an honest investor.
All of these options impact the homeowner's housing and financial situation differently. It is important that they assess the impact of each option to determine which option is a fit for them.
Tiffany Wilson has lived in the South Bay of Los Angeles County for almost 10 years. She and her family enjoy the safety and rich family features that the beach communities of the South Bay have to offer, including a close and neighborly community. Also, having experienced an out-of-country move to California over 10 years ago, she is perfectly positioned to assist out-of-state and foreign buyers in their search for real estate in the South Bay and the additional surrounding communities of Los Angeles and Orange County. She can be reached directly at tiffany.wilson@shorewood.com or 310-503-0557.
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