River North Area Market Report
· Overall closings up 11%
· Overall inventory down 9%
· <$500k homes closings are down
· $500k-$700k closings are up
· >$700k home closings are down
River North Market Report CLICK HERE
We noticed a definite overall slow down in TRAFFIC during the month of May. Some of the slowdown for the lower valued homes was due to the end of the federal tax incentive program. The slowdown in the upper end is primarily due to the instability in the stock market. Much of this slowdown will show up in next month’s closings.
One contributing factor in the market is the new bank guidelines that prevent people who have had a short sale to buy within 2 years of the short sale. Those caught looking after April 1st were trapped. This caused the lease market to shoot through the roof.
The closing of homes priced from $500k to $700k took a noticeable jump upwards, which is a huge departure from the earlier months of the year. This is a very interesting trend as when the real estate market comes back, it comes back in increments of around $100k. Thus, I see this as a very positive trend. The downturn in traffic I see as a short term downturn, as the area economy is slowly making progress.
Once optimism kicks in, the market will take off quicker than many people may think. Oddly, this can happen in a matter of weeks, not months. As an example, the lease market was flat until April 1st. Since then, the market has turned from a tenant’s market to a strong landlord’s market…..in a matter of a couple of weeks. (April 1st was the date the new short sale laws passed)
The state of Texas has implemented a bond program for first time home buyers that will continue the rally of homes priced in the lower end (first time homebuyers). This is a trickle up theory as the more homes sold, the more jobs, the more money is turned in the market place, which creates a stronger market place.
In general, optimism in Austin continues to grow, and news about Austin throughout the country continues to grow. As the stock market digests the European market and the Gulf oil spill, we, hopefully, will see traffic pick up this month. Real estate moves in one direction or another when no one expects it to; the market tends to fool most, either positively or negatively.