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Travis Neliton

Inspiration for the Day and the Video Mortgage and Financial Market Update for Nov 26th

Hello Friends, Well first, have a tremendous Thanksgiving holiday with your friends and family. What a special time we have to reflect and truly recognize the blessings and favor we have had with our family, friends, health and as much as it may not feel like it, our finances. When I read an article last night about a friend that went on his annual missions trip to Guatemala, and described the huts of the people he was helping and how they took such pride in their humble living arrangements because that is THEIR context, no one else’s. It makes you realize how much we really do have even in "hard" times. In my daily devotional I read this morning as Jesus was teaching in Matthew 7: 24-27 "the difference between a wise man and a foolish man is his response to what he already knows. A wise man follows up on what he hears while a foolish man knows but does not act." I don't know about you all, but I am guilty of having the head knowledge but not connecting it to my heart knowledge, that is an important gap to close I miss a lot. There is a lot going on today in the financial markets, mortgage backed securities are enjoying improvement on top of the huge gains from yesterday and the DOW is even in the black, fun times. Be Blessed! Travis

Video Update for Mortgage and Financial Market Update for Nov 25th

Hello Friends, Every day is a surprise! The Fed’s announced this morning that they are creating yet another lending facility to borrow money from the government. In the most recent move, the Treasury is making $600 billion available for mortgage backed securities and another $200 billion available for credit paper such as student loans, auto loans and backing the Small Business Administration and their loans to small businesses. Then there is even talk of leveraging this money at a ratio or 10/1 or in the case of $600 billion, that is $6 trillion of new mortgage loans. Well of course this caused a positive reaction in the market and MBS’ went on a HUGE rally, improving as much as 132 basis points on the 6.0% FNMA Note. Traders had to enjoy some of these huge gains and sold off for profits in late trading but we still closed 85 basis points up or .375% of a betterment in mortgage rates. Investors were not ready to give away the farm and lower mortgage rates in proportion to the gains but still a sizable improvement we should enjoy in the coming weeks. We should see rates in the low 5% range with an APR around 5.4% There was a lot more economic data hitting the wires today but this was definitely the highlight. Please watch the video for more details. Be Blessed!

Video Mortgage and Financial Market Update and thought of the day for Nov 21st

Well, I shouldn't speak so boldly yet but the DOW is actually in the black most of the morning and may close in the black. Pretty scary when you look at the numbers with the DOW dropping below 8000 yesterday. With that, since October of 2007, the DOW has dropped nearly half of its value from 14,164, to 7,988 yesterday, a 47% decline! The only other time was in the 1930's with the great depression has there been such a brutal bear market. Mortgage Backed Securities continue to hover around that important 200 day moving average and as long as we stay above it, rates will continue to be in the upper 5% range with an APR close to 6%. Please watch the video about an interesting phenomenon called Deflation and how between a recession and deflation, that is an ugly mix for the Feds to address. They are running out of options if they cut the Fed Funds Rate again in a few weeks by .75%, we will be down to a FFR of .25% and a Prime rate of 3.25%, wow! Please watch the video for more details. Thought of the day though from John Maxwell... "Give your "better" self a chance to grow. Form the habit of positive reaction followed by positive action. We cannot cause the wind to blow the way we want, but we can adjust our sails so that they will take us where we want to go." Be Blessed! Travis

Video Mortgage and Financial Market Update and Thought of the Day for Nov 19th

Hello Friends, The DOW continues to get hammered, day after day. The CEO's of the "Big 3" automakers have been getting raked over the coals on Capitol Hill today. Please watch the video for more details of that grilling, interesting to watch. The good news for mortgage rate though is the record drop on the CPI (Consumer Price Index) by 1% and thanks to a 8.6% decline in energy prices. Oil closed lower again today, down at $53.67. Between these weak inflation numbers, oil continuing to drop and a number of other technical factors, we should continue to enjoy and see mortgage rates at least stay the same and possibly trend lower as this global mess plays out. Here is a thought from the great speaker and author, John Maxwell that I think was so pertinent right now, "You stand at a unique crossroads. You are the only person in the history of humanity with your particular background, experience, and talents. You’re only going to get one chance--the one you have right now. Vow to make the most of it! Strive to reach your potential. Expand your possibilities. Make every moment count!" Be Blessed!

Video Mortgage and Financial Market Update for Nov 18th

Hello Friends, Gosh, I can't even finish recording and posting this video without a big swing in the DOW. When I was recording 5 minutes ago the DOW was in the black only 4 points, now it is up 151. That is the upper end of the see-saw action today. The DOW has been down as much as 150 and mortgage backed securities touched on being in the red but also are up currently at 15 basis points, not enough to affect your mortgage rate. Some big pressure on the market right now are the same thing that has been tugging at it for months, uncertainty! Now with reports coming out that unemployment will reach 7.5% up from last month's 6.5% before year’s end. Citigroup announced at least 50,000 jobs being cut in the coming weeks many other companies filling for protection under bankruptcy laws. The "Big 3" automakers are on Capitol Hill right now pleading their case for emergency bailout funds with a lot of resistance from Reps on the hill. The bailout of the automakers initially sounds like a terrible idea but the far reaching impact of letting them file BK would be an unbelievable impact that I am not sure our economy can handle right now. Please watch the video for more details. Be Blessed! Travis