Undoubtedly consumers have better access to information on real estate listings today than back in the days when they had to search through want-ads. No one can deny that. But I think that most consumers think that what they have is better than what it really is. They think that because they don't have access to professional tools. They don't know what they're missing.
Recently I did a quick review of five local websites aimed at consumers. All the sites were owned by members of the NWMLS. Thus, Zillow, Trulia, Google, etc. were not included. What I found was that no one site was clearly better than the others, and that all the sites have deficiencies. For example:
Of the five sites, only one allowed you to enter precise amounts for your price range. One site had starting predefined ranges in the lower price ranges as large as $50,000.
Of the five sites, one didn't even have a filter for building square footage, and one had a predefined range limit as high as 500 square feet. Same for lot square footage, where one site had no filter and another had half acre limits!
Only two of the five sites allowed consumers to enter a maximum number of bedrooms. None of the sites allowed someone to enter a maximum number of bathrooms (although admittedly that's not all that important). One site had no factional bathroom choices at all, and only one had 1/4 bathroom search options.
Some of the sites had useful choices like waterfront, new construction, view, parking, single story, and one even had a "walking score" which is something not even the NWMLS offers. Only a couple allowed searches of pendings and/or sold properties. One had a feature like the NWMLS's Locator program which allowed the user to create their own custom defined map area.
None of this comes close to what an agent can do searching the NWMLS system through Locator. There are probably well over 100 categories of "additional criteria" that an agent can use to include or exclude properties. Of course, consumers can search through more listings, which would merely require an investment of time, but I really have to wonder why they still have to do this? Is there some reason that the consumer sites cannot be better?
The Valerie Fitzgerald Group specializes in luxury residential real estate in Beverly Hills, Bel Air, Brentwood, Santa Monica and Malibu. Valerie has more than 20 years of real estate experience and is known for her solid reputation in the West Los Angeles brokerage community. Contact us at 310-285-7515 or email at info@valeriefitzgerald.com.
Valerie's also the author of the book from publisher Simon & Schuster Heart and Sold: How to Survive and Build a Recession-Proof Business.
U.S. home prices appear have to scraped a bottom, with a leading national index showing three consecutive months of gains this summer.
The Standard & Poor's/Case-Shiller index of home prices in 20 metropolitan areas showed a 1% increase in the seasonally adjusted median price of homes from July to August. The index has posted month-to-month gains since June.
"I think we have reached some kind of bottom," David Blitzer, chairman of S&P's Index Committee, said. U.S. home prices continued to decline in August, falling 11.3% when compared to the same month a year earlier, though not as steeply as past months, according to the data released this morning.
"This one looks real at this point," Blitzer said. "The question more to me is whether this is going to sort of flatten out or if it is going to go straight up; if you get a month that goes down [going forward], I don't think that it is much of a concern."
Looking at the seasonally adjusted monthly data, 17 of the metro areas tracked by the index showed improvements in August when compared to July. Meanwhile, 19 out of the 20 markets showed moderation in their year-over-year rates of decline.
As of August, home prices across the United States are at their pre-bubble levels of autumn 2003, according to the index.
Southern California cities -- San Diego and, in particular, Los Angeles -- have seen notable gains, separating themselves from other Sun Belt cities, including Las Vegas and Phoenix, Blitzer said.
Los Angeles area prices in August improved 1.3% over July on a seasonally adjusted basis. The median price was down 12% when compared to the same month a year earlier. Home prices in San Diego rose 1.5% on a seasonal basis from July but fell 8.9% when compared to August 2008.
San Francisco area homes gained 2.6% on a seasonally adjusted basis over the month of July, an increase second only to Minneapolis. On a year-over-year basis, San Francisco area homes declined 12.5% in August.
Only the cities of Las Vegas, Charlotte, N.C., and Cleveland reported monthly declines in August. August home prices in the Las Vegas area dropped 0.3% when compared to July. Las Vegas also had the biggest year-over-year drop, falling 29.9% in August.
Las Vegas is "reeling" from the drop in tourism, oversupply in housing, construction crash and high unemployment, Michael D. Larson, a housing analyst with Weiss Research said.
Phoenix fared better, posting a 1% median home price increase in August over July. It also saw the second largest drop in the year-over-year number, down 25.1%.
Housing market analysts cited the federal government's $8,000 federal tax credit for first-time buyers as an important factor in the housing market's recovery of late. The credit applies to home sales that close through Nov. 30 and is part of the $787-billion federal stimulus package enacted in February.
Larson of Weiss Research said that while the credit played an important role, the most significant factor driving the housing market was the relative affordability of homes.
"The real question is what happens now," he said. "You are going to see some give-back, you are probably going to see a pause in the recovery. But I think the fundamental story is that housing got way too expensive and now you could argue that housing is cheap again and that is what it boils down to in 50 words or less."
alejandro.lazo@latimes.com
The Valerie Fitzgerald Group specializes in luxury residential real estate in Beverly Hills, Bel Air, Brentwood, Santa Monica and Malibu. Valerie has more than 20 years of real estate experience and is known for her solid reputation in the West Los Angeles brokerage community. She’s also the author of Heart and Sold: How to Survive and Build a Recession-Proof Business.
Admittedly not an expert on Hong Kong real estate and having no idea how other forms of "stimulus" factor into buying property in this part of Asia, the simple disparity between down payment amounts between here and there, as reported in the Wall Street Journal, seems like it's worth pointing out.
Concerns about a growing bubble in Hong Kong's high-end property market pushed central bankers here to increase the required down payment on luxury homes to 40%, from the current 30%.
The new measure, which goes into effect immediately, applies to properties valued at HK$20 million (US$2.6 million) or more, part of an attempt to tamp down an overheated sector that has alarmed regulators and set off a wave of populist anger.
The Hong Kong Monetary Authority, the city's de facto central bank and main banking regulator, said that luxury-home prices already had exceeded Hong Kong's historical peak in prices, in 1997.
While property prices in much of the rest of the world continue to languish, prices in traditionally volatile Hong Kong have been on a tear this year, thanks in large part to low interest rates and a wave of liquidity from mainland China, where Beijing last year unleashed a four trillion-yuan (US$585.6 billion) stimulus.
Since they don't seem to be having the same types of problems at the middle or low end, clearly, a lot of that newly created credit on the mainland is finding its way into the hands of people who probably aren't hurting for work.
Nonetheless, the difference between 40 percent down and the effective "no money down" in the U.S. (after combining the tax rebate with FHA or VA financing) is quite startling...
The Valerie Fitzgerald Group specializes in luxury residential real estate in Beverly Hills, Bel Air, Brentwood, Santa Monica and Malibu. Valerie has more than 20 years of real estate experience and is known for her solid reputation in the West Los Angeles brokerage community. She’s also the author of Heart and Sold: How to Survive and Build a Recession-Proof Business.
Consumers have been increasingly flocking to the real estate market in recent months, driven by improving economic conditions and a popular government tax credit.
The latest figures from the National Association of Realtors show that existing home sales were strong in September, which means that conditions have improved for five of the past six months. Last month, sales were up 9.4 percent from the level recorded in August, and also 9.2 percent higher than the figures recorded in September 2008.
"We're getting early indications of price stabilization, but we need a steady supply of qualified buyers to meaningfully bring inventories down and return us to a period of normal, steady price growth and to fully remove consumer fears, which would then revive the broader economy," said NAR chief economist Lawrence Yun.
Much of the current gains are widely seen as due to the $8,000 tax credit for first-time home buyers, which for months has provided a badly-needed boost to the industry.
However, the credit is set to expire on November 30, and Congress has yet to fully approve an extension, even though the real estate industry and others have been lobbying hard for it to do so.
Elsewhere, a Las Vegas Sun report notes that not all industry professionals are cheered by the improving market conditions.
"Obviously, it is still a strong market. Properties are moving, but they are bank-owned properties that are typically under $150,000. That seems to be our market and will be as long as those properties keep coming on the market. It seems for the time being it will be more of the same until we get through that product," Las Vegas real estate professional Devin Reiss told the newspaper.
The Valerie Fitzgerald Group specializes in luxury residential real estate in Beverly Hills, Bel Air, Brentwood, Santa Monica and Malibu. Valerie has more than 20 years of real estate experience and is known for her solid reputation in the West Los Angeles brokerage community. She’s also the author of Heart and Sold: How to Survive and Build a Recession-Proof Business.

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