Finance market update provided by Brentwood TN Real Estate for buyers and sellers in the Brentwood TN area.
Mortgage bond prices rose last week pushing mortgage interest rates lower, this is great news for Brentwood TN real estate buyers. The Fed took center stage with another rate cut exactly as expected and indicated "the committee expects inflation to moderate in the coming quarter." This statement helped bonds rally considerably. The majority of data released came in as expected with the exception of the employment report that was released Friday. Non-farm payrolls fell 20,000 in April, less than the expected decrease of 75,000. For the week, interest rates on government and conventional loans fell by about 3/8 of a discount point.
The preliminary productivity data Wednesday will be the most important event this week. Look for the Treasury auctions to provide an indication of foreign demand for US debt. Trade data Friday has the potential to result in market volatility so be cautious floating into the data releases.
Economic Factors
Economic Indicator Release Date Time Consensus Estimate Analysis
Preliminary Q1 Productivity Wednesday, May 7, 2008 Up 1.2% Important. A measure of output per hour. Improvement may lead to lower mortgage rates.
10-year Treasury Note Auction Wednesday, May 7, 2008 None Important. Notes will be auctioned. Strong demand may lead to lower mortgage rates.
Consumer Credit Wednesday, May 7, 2008 Up $6.3 billion Low importance. A significantly larger than expected increase may lead to lower mortgage interest rates.
30-year Treasury Bond Auction Thursday, May 8, 2008 None Important. Bonds will be auctioned. Strong demand may lead to lower mortgage rates.
Trade Data Friday, May 9, 2008 $61.3 billion deficit Important. Affects the value of the dollar. A falling deficit may strengthen the dollar and lead to lower rates, leading also to increased buying power for Brentwood Tn Real Estate buyers..
Productivity
The latest advance gross domestic product data indicated the US economy grew at a 0.6 percent rate in the first quarter. Fed officials remain concerned that inflation is rising and the economy is heading towards recession. Many analysts believe the economy is already in one. This data was mixed with the GDP price index rising 2.6% in the first quarter compared to a 2.4% increase in the fourth quarter.
Productivity is the rate at which goods or services are produced. It is most commonly defined in terms of labor, which is the contribution of people to the process. Labor costs represent about two thirds of the value of the output produced. The Bureau of Labor Statistics of the US Department of Labor releases the most widely cited productivity statistics quarterly and annually. Increased productivity is often credited for economic growth with little signs of inflation.
Productivity is significant in that as it increases, businesses can produce more with the same or less input. This wealth building effect is vital to the US economy. As productivity increases, the US economy generally performs better. As productivity decreases, the economy generally suffers.
While the bond market generally favors signs of weakness in the economy, bonds tolerate growth as long as the economic environment shows little or no inflationary pressures. Unfortunately, inflation has escalated as of late.
Keep in mind that rates remain historically very favorable and now is a great time to buy your dream home in Brentwood TN or surrounding areas.
Now is a great time to avoid the uncertainty surrounding continued market volatility by locking your loan. Capitalizing on current levels is prudent to protect against future volatility.
*Information courtesy Tonya Esquibel, WR Starkey Mortgage, Franklin TN*
Vanessa Stalets
RE/MAX Elite
615-957-6333/ 615-661-4400
Mortgage bond prices rose last week pushing mortgage interest rates lower. Oil prices fell the first portion of the week, which helped bonds rally. Unfortunately, some pipeline shutdowns ignited inflation fears Thursday and Friday causing bond prices to fall and rates to rise, erasing a lot of the earlier improvements. Stocks remained volatile with some optimism despite data that showed the economy continued to struggle.
For the week, interest rates on government and conventional loans fell by about 3/8 of a discount point.
The Fed meeting Wednesday will be the most important event this week. Look for reactions to the data prior to the meeting to be heightened. The post-meeting data releases the later portion of the week may result in slightly diminished reactions but still have the potential to cause mortgage interest rate volatility.
Economic Factors
Economic Indicator Release Date Time Consensus Estimate Analysis
Consumer Confidence Tuesday, April 29, 2008 62.0 Important. An indication of consumers' willingness to spend. Weakness may lead to lower mortgage rates.
ADP Employment Wednesday, April 30, 2008 Down 55k Moderately Important. A different survey of employment. Weakness may help rates improve.
Q1 Advance GDP Wednesday, April 30, 2008 Up 0.4% Very important. The aggregate measure of US economic production. Weakness may lead to lower rate
s.
Q1 Employment Cost Index Wednesday, April 30, 2008 Up 0.8% Very important. A measure of wage inflation. Weakness may lead to lower rates.
Fed Meeting Adjourns Wednesday, April 30, 2008 25 basis point cut Important. Most expect the Fed to cut rates, but volatility may surround the adjournment of this meeting.
Personal Income and Outlays Thursday, May 1, 2008 Income up 0.4%, Outlays up 0.2% Important. A measure of consumers' ability to spend. Weakness may lead to lower mortgage rates.
Employment Friday, May 2, 2008 Unemp. @ 5.2%, Payrolls -80k Very important. An increase in unemployment or a large decrease in payrolls may bring lower rates.
Factory Orders Friday, May 2, 2008 Up 0.4% Important. A measure of manufacturing sector strength. Weakness may lead to lower rates.
Fed Focus
The Fed has been walking a delicate line of trying to stimulate the economy without stoking inflation too much. Unfortunately the Fed is faced with continued signs of economic weakness amid rising price pressures. Most analysts believe the Fed's biggest worry is the stumbling economy and will therefore cut rates again this week by 25 basis points. People often hear that the Fed is cutting rates and believe that mortgage interest rates will follow suit. This is usually not the case in the short-term as recent history shows. Mortgage interest rates have spiked higher following most of the recent rate cuts.
Remember, the Fed cuts rates to spur the economy. This is usually seen as positive for stocks at the expense of bonds. While nothing is set in stone and reactions can vary, floating into the Fed meeting is risky. The Federal Reserve has direct control over the level of short-term interest rates. The Fed's influence over longer-term interest rates is less certain. A cautious is prudent heading into the Fed meeting this week.
*Information Courtesy Tonya Esquibel, WR Starkey Mortgage, Franklin, TN*
Vanessa Stalets - 615-957-6333
Brentwood TN Real Estate
RE/MAX Elite
615-661-4400
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I am a licensed real estate professional in Brentwood TN. My job is to represent you in any and all real estate transactions. I have the experience and know-how to make your home selling and buying experience enjoyable. I specialize in the Brentwood, Franklin and Nashville markets.
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Vanessa Stalets |
Visit my website at Brentwood TN Real Estate
Brentwood TN Real Estate
Congratulations! You have decided to purchase a home, or are thinking about buying one in Brentwood, Franklin or Nashville TN. You will be joining the ranks of hundreds of families who realize that home ownership offers a number of benefits including building equity, saving for the future, and creating an environment for your family. When you own your own home, your hard-earned dollars contribute to your mortgage. The equity you earn is yours. Over time, your home will increase in value.
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The real estate market in Brentwood, Franklin and Nashville TN is certainly volatile, and all of the information about buying a home can be overwhelming. I can help.
When you're ready to act, contact me;
Call me, your Brentwood Real Estate Source, for more information on how I can
"Bring Integrity AND Results HOME To You!"
Vanessa Stalets
Brentwood TN Real Estate
615-957-6333
vstalets@realtracs.com
RE/MAX Elite
615-661-4400
In any market a qualified, competent Brentwood TN real estate agent will help you navigate the myriad of decisions that arise when buying and selling a home in Brentwood, Franklin or Nashville TN; this is especially true in "soft" or "buyers" markets, where an agent provides value to the homeowner in many ways. A few of them are:
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Call me, your Brentwood Real Estate Source, for more information on how I can
"Bring Integrity AND Results HOME To You!"
Vanessa Stalets
Brentwood TN Real Estate
615-957-6333
RE/MAX Elite
615-661-4400
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