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Shameca Tankerson

Forget The Dow Jones: How The US Treasury Rival Helped Mortgage Rates

Mortgage rates benefited from the Geithner speechHis speech was much anticipated, but it was what Treasury Secretary Tim Geithner didn't say Tuesday that caused mortgage markets to improve.

Mostly it was because of "safe-haven" buying.

Safe-haven buying is when investors move cash to the safest investments possible for fear of losing their money elsewhere.

This existence of the pattern is evident in looking at yesterday's Dow Jones Index timeline. Stock markets were down some in the morning. Then, at 11:00 AM ET, in the moments immediately following the public release of Geither's speech as text, stock market plunged by about 2 percent.

As the speech was delivered live, markets fell by 1 percent more.

It's not that Geithner's speech was a bad one, per se. It's just that Wall Street was looking for a detailed plan that included remedies for banking, housing, and the economy overall. What it got instead was an outline for a plan and a frank discussion about the complexity of the economy.

Stock markets had been bid up last week in anticipation of a bailout. Yesterday's action was the subsequent sell-off because economic uncertainty continues to linger.

It all ended up being good news for mortgage rate shoppers, though. When the dollars fled the stocks, they made their way towards safer, less-risky investments like mortgage bonds. And, because mortgage-backed bonds set the "going rate" for conforming mortgages nationwide, the added demand yesterday caused mortgage rates to fall.

For now, rates remain near the bargain levels set in early-January. As the Treasury clarifies its plan in the coming weeks, however, rates will be susceptible to big change.

(Image courtesy: The Wall Street Journal)

Its Raining Real Estate Investors! Fannie Mae Removes The 4 Financied Property Rule.

Friday, Fannie Mae rolled-back one of its least popular mortgage guidelines updates of the last 12 months.

Effective March 1, 2009, real estate investors can once again own and finance up to 10 individual Fannie Mae now allows up to 10 financed propertiesproperties. The restriction reversal does come with new minimum requirements, however.

Homeowners buying a 5th, 6th, 7th, 8th, 9th or 10th home must meet the following standards, as set forth by Fannie Mae:

  1. 720 credit score
  2. 25% downpayment for a 1-unit (30% for a 2-4 unit)
  3. No mortgage delinquencies in the last 12 months
  4. 6 months of reserves for each investment property

In other words, Fannie Mae is re-opening the lending spigot for real estate investors with good credit, a sizeable downpayment and ample reserves.

According to Fannie Mae, the change rationale is that experienced investors can "play a key role in the housing recovery". Until now, foreclosure auctions have gone at less than full speed because investors unable to pay cash have been halted by the existing 4-property Fannie Mae limit.

Going forward, expect a more expedient foreclosure liquidation nationwide which should, in turn, provide further support for the housing market.

And lastly, not to be forgotten, homeowners with more than 4 properties can finally participate in the ongoing conforming mortgage Refi Boom. Until now, they've been stymied by the 4-property restriction, too.

How Today's Mortgage Rates Impact Home Affordability

Mortgage rates are trolling near their all-time lowsComparing July's conforming mortgage rates to today's average rates, there's a 1.5 percent difference in favor of homeowners.

Rate drops like that make big differences in a household budget. Look at these before-and-after payments, based on rates from the chart:

$150,000 mortgage ($144 savings/month)

  • July 2008: $958 monthly
  • February 2009: $814 monthly

$250,000 mortgage ($240 savings/month)

  • July 2008: $1,597 monthly
  • February 2009: $1,357 monthly

$350,000 mortgage ($335 savings/month)

  • July 2008: $2,235 monthly
  • February 2009: $1,900 monthly

Of course, the other side of the story is that while mortgage rates fell in late-2008, the mandatory lender fees that accompanied them rose. That lessened some of the benefits of getting lower rates, but certainly not all of them.

According to recent housing data, buyers are back writing contracts and listed homes are selling quickly. Considering how mortgage rates have led monthly payments lower, maybe it shouldn't be much of a surprise.

(Image courtesy: The Wall Street Journal)

Would You Believe That Home Buyers Are Out In Full Force?

Pending Home Sales

A real estate trade group reported Tuesday that Pending Home Sales ticked higher in December 2008. A "pending home sale" is a home under contract to sell, but not yet closed.

The group positions Pending Home Sales report as a predictor of future activity, suggesting that home sales will spike 60 days hence.

This is good news for the economy.

However, despite the Pending Home Sales report's correlation to the actual number of homes sold in the future, that connection may not be the report's best use. This is because of what Pending Homes Sales doesn't measure.

Specifically not included in Pending Homes Sales are:

  1. Sales of new construction homes
  2. Sales of For Sale By Owner properties
  3. 80 percent of non-surveyed MLS transactions

And, lastly, it should be noted that Pending Home Sales tracks contracts -- not closings -- and until a home is sold and closed, nothing has really happened in the economy. That's especially relevant in a market like this in which finding financing isn't always so easy.

Pending Home Sales still has its place, though, because it's a terrific look at the current buy-side demand for homes. Clearly, low mortgage rates and falling home prices are making an impact and this is why the December's Pending Home Sales report is so important. It's the third housing report this month that shows the demand for homes rising while the supply of homes falls.

The other two reports:

  1. The number of "used" homes sold monthly is rising
  2. The number of new homes being built are falling

This is good news for home sellers and for the economy. If housing is expected to lead the U.S. out of recession, the seeds for that recovery may have already been planted.

(Image courtesy: The Wall Street Journal)

Are You Watering Your Grass?

I am certain you have heard the expression the grass is greener on the other side. Although it would often seem that way I believe the grass is always greener where you water it. Are you watering your grass?

lady in a field with flowers and green grass

  • Do you want a new job? Have you first fully watered your current position?
  • Is your family or marriage a bit dull? Have you nurtured it effectively?
  • Do you want a better position in your company? Have you given all you can?
  • Do you want more customers for your business? How well do you service the client's in your database?

Where you put your energy and attention is where you will get more of what you want. I am commited to focusing on what is important, working, and wonderful and I know more will come my way

On a daily basis I get countless opportunities to educate, mentor, and inspire others. Many of those opportunities turn into referrals for my business. Make the most of the opportunities you have during these economic times. Use the opportunities that present themselves.

The ‘grass is the most green where you water it.' So crank up the sprinklers. Pour on the water. Open the flood gates and invest in where you are at for this season and the green grass wil grow all around!