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Katie Wethman, CPA, MBA, REALTOR® - Northern Virginia & DC Real Estate

Short Sale Statistics for Northern Virginia

I got to wondering today whether more short sales are closing and thought I would share some interesting data I found. All data is per MRIS as of today.

Number of active listings designated "potential" short sales in NoVA* = 607 (# in Arlington = 57)

Number of short sales that have closed in NoVA in past 30 days = 199 (# in Arlington = 7)

Close Price to Last List Price Ratio for Short Sales that Closed = $302,258/$306,505 = 98.6%

Average Days on Market (Property) of Short Sales that Closed = 83 (Highest was 631 days). Note this represents the number of days until they got an offer, NOT the number of days that it took for the bank to approve the transaction.

A quick look at the listings that closed in the past 30 days showed "contract dates" of as far back as November 2008, but most seemed to have been put under contract in the March-April-May 2009 timeframe, meaning about 3 month waiting period for bank approval and settlement. As a point of comparison, "regular" contracts tend to settle about 30-45 days after the contract date.

I have to say that I was surprised that so many short sales closed in the past 30 days. I went back for a few months to spot check and the average seems to be roughly 200-250 closing each month going back to this Spring. This data leads me to believe that not only are banks approving more and more short sales, but they've gotten more efficient at that approval process.

Buyers, short sales are certainly not without their own risks, delays, and headaches, but maybe it's time to put them back on your shopping list. To start your home search, visit my website or contact us.

* NoVA = Arlington, Alexandria, Fairfax, Fairfax City, Falls Church City

State of the Northern Virginia & DC Real Estate Market - August 2009

Summer has been surprisingly busy this year in the DC real estate world. Here's the latest:

Buyers are in a race against the clock to claim the $8000 tax credit by November 30, which has spurred activity in lower price ranges ($500k-ish and below) dramatically.

Northern Virginia inventory, in particular, is significantly lower than past years - check out this inventory graph, and the surprising uptick in average sales price just below it. There is still a lack of "good" inventory out there, resulting in a lot of very frustrated buyers who are moving quickly and at full price when they see something they like that is priced right. At least half of the offers I've written the past few months (and there were a lot) were competing against other buyers and, even with very solid terms, often losing to others with equally solid terms.

The lack of new construction in the area is also adding to the inventory drop. As this article notes, condo prices are down, driving sales up. But this little bit in the middle is particularly intriguing: "Because the number of projects set to deliver inside the Beltway will drop to near zero, Leisch said prices will rise sharply between 2010 and 2011."

Even with buyers jumping to write offers, it's important to structure the contracts to protect yourself. I was quoted in this Express article last month about creating "safety nets" for buyers.

In related news, and adding frustration to the market for both buyers and sellers, there are continuing challenges with appraisals, as noted in this WSJ article.

I'm hosting a free first time home buyer class at Arlington Central Library on Tuesday, August 18 at 7:15 pm. This month is really the latest that a buyer should start their search if they hope to make the November 30 deadline. If you or a colleague would like to attend, please email me to register so I can reserve a seat.

As always, please let me know if I can do anything to help you or your friends with your real estate needs.

State of the DC Area Real Estate Market: June 2009

The Spring market is hopping, but some recent changes are making it difficult to predict what's around the corner. Here's what's going on in the local real estate world:

Interest Rates Jump: Mortgage rates took a significant jump in the past few weeks. The short story is that optimism about the economy combined with fears about inflation are pushing rates up. But if you want the long story, you can read more about the relationship between the bond markets and MBS markets here.

Foreclosures and short sales continue to be a very active segment. Banks have finally figured out that the trick to selling foreclosures quickly is to price them ridiculously low and get a bidding war going. It's not uncommon to have dozens of offers in during the first few days for entry-level price points ($200-300k). Short sales continue to be a source of frustration for buyers, as noted in this good NPR story.

The area's inventory remains flat (Arlington and DC) to declining (NoVA)--check out the significant decline in Northern Virginia inventory here.


New Appraisal Code Scuttles Deals: The new Home Valuation Code of Conduct was implemented in May, and is wreaking havoc with deals. This Code created intermediaries to manage the appraisal process, and some argue that quality has dropped. Many appraisals are coming in low, opening the door to a secondary round of price negotiations in many transactions.

Monetization of Tax Credit: Of significant note to first time buyers is the emergence of programs that will allow a buyer to "monetize" the $8000 tax credit. VHDA has developed a program to structure a second trust of $8000 with no principal or interest payments due during the first 12 months. Details are still evolving, but it is expected that a buyer could use this $8000 second trust as part of their downpayment.

If you are a first time buyer hoping to take advantage of the $8000 tax credit - start your search NOW! The lack of "good" inventory may make it difficult to find something that fits your needs and your price range. Settlements must occur by November 30 to file for the credit, and with the current volume of lending and refinancing banks are backed up. No doubt this backlog will increase for both lenders and settlement companies as we approach November 30 - plan ahead! Contact me to start your search - I'd love to help you!

And finally, just for fun: For all you Arlingtonians and those who want to be an Arlingtonian -- check out this rap.

As always, please let me know if I can do anything to help you or your friends with your real estate needs.

Ready to start your search? Visit my website or contact me!

Free First Time Home Buyer Class in Arlington, VA

Are you a first time buyer thinking of starting your search? Low pries, historically low interest rates, and the $8000 tax credit have many people in our area wondering if it's time to buy. Join us for a free educational session at Arlington County Library.

Wenesday, June 10

7:15 pm - 8:30 pm

Arlington County Library

1015 N Quincy St

2nd Floor Mtg Room

Ballston (Orange Line)

We cover a recap of the market, current trends and market stats including days on market, average sales prices, and inventory levels. We'll also discuss the impact of the banking system collapse and bailout, the home purchase process and common pitfalls, financing basics and a how to get started checklist. Specific topics covered:

- Northern Virginia, DC, and Montgomery County market analysis

- Mortgage basics: rates, points, fees

- Financing basics: FHA, Conventional, Conforming, and "Jumbo" loans

- Calculating the tax benefits of homeownership

- Short Sale, Foreclosure/REO/Bank Owned basics

- Search tips - Fees and closing costs

- Buyer agency and choosing an agent

There's never any cost or obligation to attend our classes. Simply email katie@katiewethman.com to register so that we may have materials available for you.

Arlington, VA Neighborhoods: Waycroft - Woodlawn

About the Neigborhood

Waycroft-Woodlawn consists of about 585 single-family homes that are primarily in the Cape Cod and Colonial styles, common in the 1920s, 30s, and 40s when the area was developed. Bounded by Glebe Road , I-66, 17th Street , and George Mason Drive/Frederick Street, it is very close to Ballston metro and major commuting routes like I-66, Rt 29/Lee Hwy, and Washington Blvd. Nearby neighborhoods include Tara - Leeway Heights and Westover.

Woodlawn Park is located nearby, and a stream runs through the park. Virginia Hosptial Center is adjacent to the neighborhood. The neighborhood's abundance of trees and greenery (it's known as the "Garden Spot" of Arlington) and bicycle- and pedestrian-friendly sidewalks make it a charming locale.

The neighborhood has a very active Civic Association. View the Waycroft-Woodlawn conservation plan.

Neighborhood History

Waycroft-Woodlawn is anchored by the Mt. Olivet Methodist Church, first built between 1855-1860 and was born in the name of dispute resolution. Two of Waycroft-Woodlawn residents, William Marcey and John Brown, had a dispute over a parcel of land and to resolve the matter, they both gave up their claims and donate the land for a church site. The current church structure was built in 1948 is the fourth building on the same site. Mt. Olivet Church served as a hospital for wounded Union soldiers during the Civil War.

Arlington County's website provides more background on the evolution of the neighborhood:

Following the Civil War, a Union officer, Major R. S. Lacey of Ohio bought a farm in the southern part of the Waycroft-Woodlawn area and built a house, Broadview. This house stands today, still a private home, at 14th and Evergreen Streets. The Brumback firm built Woodlawn Village in the years 1934-1939. In the area named Waycroft, lots were sold and individual houses built rather than the entire development being built by one builder as was the case in Woodlawn Village. In the years following World War II, the remaining vacant lots in Waycroft-Woodlawn were then built up with individual dwellings.

Homes for Sale

As of April 30, 2009, there are 5 homes on the market in Waycroft-Woodlawn, ranging in price from a $559,000 Cape Code to a $897,400 Colonial. In the past year, 24 homes sold with list prices ranging from $482,500 to $1.37 million (average sold price $744,404). Properties don't last long in this charming neighborhood - average days on market was just 38. (Source: MRIS as of 4/30/09)

Looking to buy a home in Waycroft - Woodlawn? I live nearby and keep a close watch on the listings in the neighborhood - contact me!

Search the MLS or contact me to set up a custom alert for Waycroft Woodlawn homes!

Are you getting ready to sell your Waycroft - Woodlawn home? As an Arlington resident, I can help you best highlight all the positives of living here! Not all agents are alike -- ask me about the services that I provide my sellers including professional photography, staging, and custom websites--after all, most buyers start their home search on the web and DEMAND high quality photos. For a free pricing analysis and comprehensive marketing plan, contact me or visit my Sellers Resource Center.

Sign Up for an Automated Market Summary of activity in Waycroft-Woodlawn at www.waycrofthomevalues.com

Other Arlington Neighborhoods:

Arlington Forest

Berkshire Oakwood

Colonial Village

Lyon Park

Maywood

Tara - Leeway Heights

Waverly Hills

Westover