Here are my 5 predictions ...
1) Home Prices will continue to Drop in 2008. Foreclosures and the number of distressed properties will continue to pressure home prices across the country and in Orange County. Over 1 in 4 home listed for sale will be a distressed property, foreclosure or short sale. Home prices will be lower in 2008 compared to 2007 ending prices.
2) 2008 Home Sales will be down from 2007. Stricter Loan guidelines and the lack of liquidity for Jumbo Loans (loans greater than $417,000) will continue to limit the number of buyers available to purchase homes in Orange County causing a decrease in total home sales year over year.
3) Interest Rates will Be Lower in 2008. The Federal Reserve will have to continue lowering interest rates to help with the sub-prime, foreclosures and stabilization of the housing market.
4) Home Inventory Levels will continue to be at all time Highs. The Orange County supply of homes beginning the year in 2008 is just over a 15 month supply (meaning at the current rate of sales it would take 15 months to sell all the homes in OC) this is double what we began 2007 with a year ago (7.5 month supply ending 2006).
5) Pressure from the Housing Market and Higher Energy Prices will slow the economy in 2008 and push us to the edge of a Recession. It will be dependent upon the Federal Reserve and the government as far as what they do to address these issues that will determine if we see the "R" word in 2008. It will be interesting in an election year.
Final thoughts ... With all the adversities ahead in 2008 there will come opportunities. This is why I believe it is so important to have a team of experts by your side or on your team to give you the right advise. I'm here to help you with anything real estate related. If you know anyone that might be in trouble of losing their home I would be happy to explain all of their options.
For more great Orange County market insight and industry news visit Laguna Niguel Real Estate or view the Orange County Market Trends at Orange County Real Estate.
Listen to Zen's Laguna Niguel Real Estate Podcast available 24/7.
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