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This is an addendum to my post about the Cranford NJ Real Estate Market summary for January 2008.
After studying the numbers for a period of 3 months ending January 2008, and comparing them to that same period from January 2007, it confirms what I said in my earlier blog. We are flatlined in terms of prices and sales activity from one year ago with no heavy change in either direction . While there were less closed and pending sales by a few percentage points, there were also slightly less new listings. Less new listings is a good thing for selling off inventory, and for sparking buyer activity.
Keep in mind that these figures do not reflect any offers that may have been written in the last few weeks of January, and were still in attorney review as of January 31. I noticed a big boost in buyer activity during the second half of the month with those interest rates dropping to the mid 5's.
I actually enjoy looking at these numbers, because it helps me make sense of what has happened, and how I can best serve my clients moving forward.
Until next time...
Sean Carroll - Realtor, Team Leader
"Team Carroll" Cranford, Westfield NJ Area Real Estate Professionals.
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****Drumroll Please*****
I know I gave you all that great teaser yesterday saying I was prepared to maybe to call the bottom of this housing market in Cranford NJ and tell you that sales activity might indicate that we were starting to pull away from the slower pace of the past 2 years. Well...unfortunately the data doesn't indicate a movement upward in sales activity, but the good news is that there was not a movement down in sales activity either, which could mean we are surfing around on the bottom part of the housing cycle, ready to make a move upwards in activity.
If history is a guide, corrections usually last in the neighborhood of 3 years, and we are approaching that 3 year mark here in this area. So, I would tend to believe that we may start to see some motion to the upside in pending sales, and a downward trend in inventory. That second part did occur in January 2008 in Cranford. We had a total of 89 active listings in the month of January that is down from 92 a year ago in 2007. We had 13 homes go under contract in January 2008, which is down from 16 in 2007. So comparing apples to apples, we are flatlined from a year ago.
Here are the raw numbers for January 2008 in Cranford NJ Real Estate
Here is the Updated Pending Sales Commentary
Number of Closed Sales: 10 (this includes those that went under contract before January)
Number of Listings that Went Under Contract 13
Average Sales Price: $379,740
Average Days on Market of Sold Homes: 87
List to Sale Price Ratio: 95%
Number of New Listings: 36
Current Months of Inventory: 5.92 (this is a big deal, because it's under 6 months, which is a very...very slight tilt towards a sellers market, or demand driven market. If this goes down more next month, I will feel more confident saying we are trending towards price increases. Not yet, however.)
So There you have it. I hope this was informative, and look for my Westfield and Scotch Plains/Fanwood version before too long.
Check back often for more updates. With interest rates so low, and many sellers not re-listing their expireds from last year, we may start to see some more of this inventory sell off, which is good news for sellers, and motivation for buyers to LOCK IN now while rates are low, and supply is higher.
No matter what the market does, my job doesn't change...SERVING YOU, the client, and representing your best interests. Part of that responsibility is to know our market, and give you solid advice on what you need to do to accomplish your goals, regardless of whether it's a buyers market, sellers market, or neutral market. Happy House Hunting!
Sean Carroll - Realtor, Team Leader
"Team Carroll" - Cranford, Westfield and Scotch Plains/Fanwood Real Estate Professionals
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....well if I had the answer to that, I would be a very rich man! Instead, all I can do is help buyers and sellers accomplish their goals. What I can say is that tomorrow, Feb 1, 2008, don't miss the latest Cranford NJ Real Estate Market Report, which will show the key statistics of pending home sales for January, and number of new listings. This will go a long way in determining which way the 2008 market is trending.
I can tell you from first hand experience, that just this month alone, I have seen or been involved with a few multiple offer situations, and a listing that sold in less than 10 days. I have seen interest rates drop to incredible levels, and more first time buyers jumping into the market than in the past 3 years. These are signs that point to the light at the end of the tunnel in terms of the pricing correction we've seen in Cranford the past few years. While Cranford never saw the type of price corrections that other parts of the country have seen, there was certainly some adjustment from all time high levels of 2005.
Tune back in tomorrow for the numbers!!! (How was that for a teaser???)
Sean Carroll - Realtor, Team Leader
"Team Carroll" - Real Estate Professionals
Serving Cranford, Westfield, Scotch Plains and Berkeley Heights
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