“World's Most Complete Neighborpedia”
Explore:   What's happening in your neck of the woods?

Medford Township, NJ

The Mortgage Market View...

11-28-08
Larry Bailey
Larry Bailey: Title Company in Medford Township, NJ

With the economy slowing and holidays just around the corner, many consumers may be looking to credit cards to help them get through the heavy shopping season. While that may be a good short-term solution, you want to make sure you don't overlook the long-term impact on your credit rating. After all, the actions you take today could hang over your head for years to come--and may make it tough for you to get the home loan or car loan you want in the future.

To help you make sure you manage your credit cards--and your credit score--during the upcoming holiday spending season, follow these steps:

Double-check your card limits. Many credit card companies today have started lowering credit limits. That means you have less credit available, but it also may mean that your credit score is about to take a hit. That's because approximately 30% of your credit score is based on the amount you owe in relation to your available credit. So, if a credit card company cuts back your limit, you may find that you're suddenly almost maxed out. That's not a good sign for your long-term credit score rating.

Ask, pay down, or move around. If some of your credit limits have changed or are nearly maxed out, you can take a few steps to help alleviate the problem. First, consider simply asking for a higher limit to your card...not necessarily to use up with spending, but to allow more unused credit line to be available and therefore boost your credit score. You can also pay more money to the cards that are near the credit limit, if you can. Or, if you have cards with little to no remaining credit line, transfer some of the larger balances onto the cards with lower balances. That'll give you a more... well... balanced financial picture.

Leave home without it. One of the best tips for the holiday season is to: make a budget, identify specific items, and then leave home without your credit card. Instead, bring just enough cash to purchase the items on your list. That will help you resist the urge to impulse buy, and keep your credit card balances lower.

Pick a card... not just any card. If you can't bring cash, make a credit card plan. Identify specific items that you'll pay for on specific cards. By making a plan and spreading your purchases to different cards, you won't overspend and you won't risk running up one or two cards that are near the credit limit, which will hurt your credit rating.

Resist card offers at the counter. Retailers are famous for offering "savings" when you open a credit card. But those savings often don't outweigh the long- and short-term negatives. For one thing, opening a new account--or multiple accounts in a short period of time--can negatively impact your credit score. In addition, consumers often spend more than planned when a new card is suddenly available. So this holiday season, resist the temptation.

Stay active. If you have older cards that you don't use, make sure you keep them active. For one thing, some of those older cards help establish a longer history of positive credit. For another, the available credit on those older cards can help keep your credit score higher because it improves your overall debt-to-credit ratio. To keep those cards active, make sure you charge one or two items on them throughout the year... like, say, when you go shopping for the holidays. Then, pay them off when the bill comes in.

Always pay on time. Your payment record is a very large part of your credit score, so it's crucial that you have an idea how your holiday shopping will impact your credit card bills and that you make a plan to pay those bills on time. If you have trouble for any reason, contact your card companies right away to work out a plan that helps you pay down your debt... and save your credit rating from a huge hit.

Forecast for the Week

11-28-08
Larry Bailey
Larry Bailey: Title Company in Medford Township, NJ

It will be a holiday shortened week in the markets as Thanksgiving is celebrated, but there are several important reports that could determine which direction Bonds and home loan rates move. On Tuesday, the Gross Domestic Product (GDP) Report will be released, and on Wednesday we will get the details on the Fed's favorite gauge of inflation, the Core Personal Consumption Expenditure (PCE) data, from the Personal Income report. Given the Fed's recent talk of deflation, it will be important to see what these reports reveal.

Also on Wednesday, we'll get a read on consumer and business consumption and buying behavior from the Durable Goods Report. Durable goods are items that are non-disposable, like cars, furniture, appliances, games, cameras, business equipment, etc. In addition, we'll get a read on the housing market with Monday's Existing Home Sales Report and Wednesday's New Home Sales Report.

Stocks hit some important technical support last week, and bounced higher on Friday, with the rally being boosted by the appointment of incoming Treasury Secretary Timothy Geitner. Some follow through to the upside in Stocks could pull money out of Bonds and cause some short term worsening of home loan rates...but if deflation starts grabbing more headlines, smart money will be headed towards Bonds, which will help home loan rates improve.

Keep an eye out for words from SEC Chairman Chris Cox, who must comment on some potential easing to "mark-to-market" accounting before January 2nd. If there is indeed some easing in mark-to-market accounting - which accelerated the financial crisis - it could set off a significant...perhaps very significant...rally in Stocks, which may temporarily hurt Bonds and home loan rates.

The Bond market will be closed on Thursday in honor of Thanksgiving, and will also be closing early at 2:00pm ET on both Wednesday and Friday. I wish you and your family a very happy Thanksgiving!

Chart: Fannie Mae 6.0% Mortgage Bond (Friday Nov 21, 2008) Japanese Candlestick Chart

Last Week in Review

11-28-08
Larry Bailey
Larry Bailey: Title Company in Medford Township, NJ

"THE IMPORTANT THING IN THIS WORLD IS NOT SO MUCH WHERE WE STAND, AS IN WHAT DIRECTION WE ARE MOVING." Oliver Wendell Holmes. And when it comes to the direction our economy may be moving, there was some surprising news from the Fed last week that the "Minutes" from their October meeting revealed.

After years of being concerned about inflation, the Fed is now concerned about deflation. So what exactly is deflation? Deflation is when prices drop, which generally is due to lack of demand, and therefore lack of pricing power. With the economy slowing down, we are hearing economists forecast that we may be in for a deflationary recession. In a deflationary environment, investors flee into fixed instruments like Bonds, because the fixed payment received would actually buy them more goods and services over time as prices decline.

So what does this mean for home loan rates? Remember, home loan rates improve as Bond pricing moves higher - and more demand for Bonds would mean higher prices for Bonds. In the spring of 2003, when Alan Greenspan uttered the "D" word, deflation, Bonds rallied 400bp in just a few weeks, bringing a significant drop in home loan rates. Of course, the economy is different right now, but as more money may be headed towards Bonds in a deflationary environment, we could again see a significant improvement in home loan rates down the road.

On the inflation front, last week's Producer Price Index indicated that wholesale inflation plummeted last month - by the most since records began in 1947 - largely due to declines in energy prices. In addition, the Consumer Price Index showed that inflation at the consumer level fell by a record 1.0%, thanks again to lower costs of energy.

When it comes to the direction the economy is heading, the week did end with some hopeful news. Federal Reserve President Jeffrey Lacker said that an economic recovery could begin in 2009 as low interest rates, low energy prices, and less drag from the housing sector may shore up spending. In the meantime, Bonds and home loan rates spent much of last week trading near a key level of technical support called the 200-Day Moving Average, finally moving and staying above this level on Friday. As a result, Bonds and home loan rates ended the week unchanged to slightly better than where they began.

WHEN IT COMES TO CREDIT SCORES, IT'S MORE IMPORTANT THAN EVER TO DO ALL YOU CAN TO KEEP YOUR SCORE MOVING IN THE RIGHT DIRECTION! CHECK OUT THIS WEEK'S MORTGAGE MARKET VIEW FOR HOLIDAY SHOPPING TIPS THAT WILL HELP KEEP YOUR CREDIT SCORE ON THE UP AND UP.

Loan Modifications - Helpful or Just Another Scam?

11-25-08
Larry Bailey
Larry Bailey: Title Company in Medford Township, NJ

I have watched many of my clients (mortgage and real estate) see their clients and peers get involved in Loan Modificaiton programs/companies/scams and would love to get your take on this activity.

If you need to modify your terms to help you stay in your home (lowering the interest rate, resetting the payment to show current and adding the arrearage to the end of the note, lowering the current principle balance, etc.) I see this as a good thing. I am happy to see Fannie Mae, Bank of America, and others trying to step in to help homeowners stay in their home.

I also have seen perfectly good people intentionally wreck their credit by slow paying their mortgage to be "Eligible" for a loan modification (or so they think.)

The most confusing part is that different programs have different guidelines (which are not easy to find) and usually disqualify someone anyway. I have also seen clients get a nice 1099 for the "forgiven" principle (turning into taxable income) when they needed it least.

I am not sure about any of this. It seems that there should be some kind of consistency and transparentcy to all of this.

As more people have worse and worse credit histories, it removes them from being able to borrow. This disenfranchises them from buying or refinancing for the next 2-4 years, because of how their "solutions" are reported to the credit bureaus.

How many "lost" people can the Real Estate and Mortgage Industries take?

Please share your thoughts with me to let me know your opinions.

What does a relationship mean to YOU?

11-21-08
Larry Bailey
Larry Bailey: Title Company in Medford Township, NJ

This means (to me) that I will do whatever I can do, to help our relationship grow. I will seek and find ways for us to grow together. I will stop and listen to what you have to say and understand that your words and actions are as important as mine. I will make sure that if there is a problem that you are made aware of it ASAP, as I would expect the same.

Now, as short way (as I was taught at a young age) is "Do unto others as you would have them do unto you." I have lived this way in my personal and professional life every possible minute I can.

I am proud to work for a company that stresses the same values and insights. TruClose Financial Services LLC is a title insurance company. The core of its business is title insurance offered in all 50 states. While it was growing, it listened to its relationships and added things like Appraisal Management Services for all 50 states, Lead Generation Services for Mortgage and Real Estate Companies, and offers general marketing and sales support when you just need someone to listen to help you.

TruClose Financial does all of these things so that we can help you grow your business grow.

We will continue to add value to our relationships and their businesses as we are asked to. We will always listen to what you need and do what we can to help, as any good relationship would do.

A brief outline of some of the value points is below. If I can personally be of any assistance to helping your business grow, in even the smallest of ways, please let me know. I would love to hear your feedback on this post, if you would like to leave it.

* FRONTING OF APPRAISAL FEES UNTIL SETTLEMENT?

* EXCLUSIVE LEAD GENERATION SERVICES WITH A 28% APPLICATION RATE FOR JUST $0.25 EACH?

* THE ABILITY TO BE CLEAR TO CLOSE YOUR LOANS IN JUST 24 HOURS FROM YOUR TITLE ORDER?

* LOAN CLOSINGS 24 HOURS PER DAY, 7 DAYS PER WEEK?