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Economic Conditions for the Las Vegas Valley May 2008
Housing Conditions:
My analysis: Distressed listings (foreclosures and short sales) are 66% of total listings. THIS IS DOWN FOR THE FIRST TIME THAT I HAVE BEEN KEEPING TRACK OF THESE STATS - SEVERAL YEARS! Credit markets must be watched, interest rates are rising quickly too. Resale sold units and pendings remain impressive. Builders cannot compete with bank owned listing prices, thus sales remain lackluster.
New Residents/Employment Conditions:
My analysis: The tourism, gaming and convention numbers need to improve before these numbers improve. New Resident Count will go down if no new jobs are created. Unemployment rate is painful.
Tourism/Gaming Conditions:
My analysis: This sector (tourism) needs to see some serious price corrections before we see a comeback. Corporate credit is not coming back any time soon. It will be hard to get convention attendance back up without corporate credit. Glad to see regular tourists are making their way here with the imbalance of the other numbers to replace the convention attendee numbers. Gaming and convention business is big business and those numbers MUST increase.
Sources: Salestraq, Home Builder's Research, Greater Las Vegas Association of Realtors, Nevada State Gaming Control Board, Nevada Department of Motor Vehicles, McCarran International Airport, Las Vegas Convention & Visitor's Authority, Nevada Department of Employment, Training and Rehabilitation. Information deemed reliable but not guaranteed. My analysis is my humble opinion.
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